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Vasas vs Ferencvarosi TC prediction

Hungary · NB I
Vasas badgeVasas#7 · 16 ptsDLLDW
0 - 2Full time
Ferencvarosi TC badgeFerencvarosi TC#2 · 23 ptsWWWWD

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Habib Maïga 65'⚽ Matúš Bero 84'

Sunday, November 8 · 13:00 (Peru time) · Illovszky Rudolf Stadion

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

83%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'🔁 Sub: marius corbu · Ádám NagyFerencvarosi TC
84'⚽ Matúš Bero assist Lenny JosephFerencvarosi TC
84'🔁 Sub: Kristoffer Zachariassen · Jonathan LeviFerencvarosi TC
84'🔁 Sub: Veljko Birmančević · Daniel ArzaniFerencvarosi TC
81'🔁 Sub: Márk Kovácsréti · P. KovácsVasas
81'🔁 Sub: Szabolcs Mezei · András RadóVasas
75'🔁 Sub: C. Molnár · B. BarkócziVasas
65'⚽ Habib Maïga assist Mariano GómezFerencvarosi TC
64'🔁 Sub: Bamidele Isa Yusuf · Lenny JosephFerencvarosi TC
64'🔁 Sub: Ádám Madarász · Matúš BeroFerencvarosi TC
62'🟨 Ádám MadarászFerencvarosi TC
61'🔁 Sub: Gergo Janos Palinkas · Bence Janos PethoVasas
44'🟨 Gergo Janos PalinkasVasas
22'🟨 Attila OsváthFerencvarosi TC

Win probability minute by minute

VasasDrawFerencvarosi TC
At kick-off17%26%56%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

17%Vasas to win@5.72
26%Draw@3.79
56%Ferencvarosi TC to win@1.78
Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams to score62%
Vasas or draw44%
Ferencvarosi TC or draw83%
Vasas to score68%
Ferencvarosi TC to score87%

Most likely scores

1-112%1-29%0-28%0-18%1-36%

Expected goals per the model: Vasas 1.14 · Ferencvarosi TC 2.08

How many goals will there be?

4%0 goals13%1 goals21%2 goals22%3 goals18%4 goals22%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.22.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.1 in total · Vasas 4.5 · Ferencvarosi TC 5.5

62%Over 8.5@1.61
52%Over 9.5@1.92
42%Over 10.5@2.37
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.7

65%Over 3.5@1.53
49%Over 4.5@2.04
34%Over 5.5@2.92

⏱️ First half

37% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.20

70%Goal in the 1st half@1.43
34%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.97
87%Goal in the 2st half@1.15

⚽ Goals per team

32%Vasas +1.5@3.17
62%Ferencvarosi TC +1.5@1.63
7%Vasas to win to nil@14.20

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

0.62Expected goals (xG)1.21
6Shots on target4
3Saves6
2Offsides0
13Shots11
1Yellow cards2
2Corners7
16Fouls15
0Red cards0
46Possession %54

Goals in the last 10 matches

Vasas · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.0goals per match
2.5en Budapest Honved: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Puskas Academy: 0-1 0-1 en Ujpest: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Nyiregyhaza: 3-2 3-2 ambosen Debreceni VSC: 4-2 4-2 ambosvs Kisvarda FC: 1-1 1-1 ambosen MTK Budapest: 0-1 0-1 vs Paks: 0-2 0-2 en Gyori ETO FC: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Ferencvarosi TC: 0-2 0-2

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Ferencvarosi TC · last 10 matches
4/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.9goals per match
2.5en Celtic: 3-1 3-1 ambosen Nyiregyhaza: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Debreceni VSC: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Plzen: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Kisvarda FC: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Torreense: 4-1 4-1 ambosvs MTK Budapest: 5-0 5-0 vs Paks: 2-0 2-0 en AC Milan: 2-0 2-0 at Vasas: 2-0 2-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

VasasFerencvarosi TC
1.7Goals scored per match2.0
1.4Goals conceded per match0.8
75%Matches with over 1.5 goals83%
58%Matches with over 2.5 goals57%
58%Both teams to score57%
17%Clean sheet43%
33%Matches without scoring4%
4.8Corners won per match5.7
2.6Yellow cards per match1.8

Vasas: 12 matches · Ferencvarosi TC: 23 matches (all competitions with data).

Vasas at home · Ferencvarosi TC away

Vasas at home
2G2E2P
LDWLW
Ferencvarosi TC away
8G3E1P
WDDWW

When do they score and concede?

Vasas · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded
430-150216-302031-453346-604261-757776-90
Ferencvarosi TC · goals by minute in 23 matches scored conceded
310-1511216-305731-4511446-609061-758476-90

The first goal

Vasas

Scores first in 4 of 11 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 4.

Ferencvarosi TC

Scores first in 19 of 22 matches and wins 15 of them.

Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 3.

Players in form

Vasas

M. Toth · 2 goles, 1 assists in 3 matches

Jozef Urblík · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

B. Pavkovics · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Ferencvarosi TC

Kristoffer Zachariassen · 2 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches

Bamidele Isa Yusuf · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Lenny Joseph · 2 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

1Vasas to win
4Draws
5Ferencvarosi TC to win

10 matches · 2.2 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-08-02Ferencvarosi TC 0-0 VasasNB I
2023-04-22Vasas 0-1 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
2023-01-28Ferencvarosi TC 0-0 VasasNB I
2022-08-31Vasas 0-1 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
2022-02-09Vasas 0-2 Ferencvarosi TCMagyar Kupa
2018-05-12Ferencvarosi TC 1-1 VasasNB I

Standings

NB I standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Puskas Academy13+324
2Ferencvarosi TC12+1223
3Gyori ETO FC13+723
4Debreceni VSC13+622
5Paks13+220
6Ujpest13+118
7Vasas13+116
8Budapest Honved12-314
9Zalaegerszegi TE13-713
10MTK Budapest13-913
11Kisvarda FC13-312
12Nyiregyhaza13-1012

More stats

Half-time

Vasas: 7 days since last match · Ferencvarosi TC: 3 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 20:30 UTC.

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