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UCD vs Drogheda United prediction

Ireland · Premier Division

UCD

1 - 2Full time

Drogheda UnitedWLWLL

52%24%23%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Mark Doyle 19'⚽ Ciaran Behan 33'⚽ Louis Dignam 66'

Saturday, 7 November · 12:30 (Peru time) · United Park

🎯 Model pick

UCD to score

82%

Partial data

Drogheda United concede 1.6 goals per match
Drogheda United in poor form: 3 defeats in their last 5

⚡ Summary

52%UCD to win@1.91 56%Over 2.5 goals@1.78 59%Both teams to score@1.70 1-1Most likely score · 10%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

85'🟨 Carl LennoxDrogheda United

80'🔁 Sub: Alfie Bates · Jago GoddenUCD

80'🔁 Sub: Thomas Oluwa · Ryan BrennanUCD

74'🔁 Sub: Andrew Quinn · keegan ancelinUCD

74'🔁 Sub: Sam Norval · Stephen MohanDrogheda United

68'🔁 Sub: ethan brien o · Shane FarrellUCD

66'⚽ Louis Dignam assist Hugh SmithDrogheda United

33'⚽ Ciaran BehanDrogheda United

19'⚽ Mark Doyle assist Alfie BatesUCD

13'🟨 Conor KeeleyUCD

Win probability minute by minute

UCDDrawDrogheda United

At kick-off52%24%23%Full time0%0%100%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

52%UCD to win@1.91

24%Draw@4.13

23%Drogheda United to win@4.27

Over 1.5 goals78%

Over 2.5 goals56%

Over 3.5 goals36%

Both teams to score59%

UCD or draw77%

Drogheda United or draw48%

UCD to score82%

Drogheda United to score67%

Most likely scores

1-110%1-09%2-19%2-08%0-07%

Expected goals per the model: UCD 1.89 · Drogheda United 1.20

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.09.

Corners, cards and first half

⚽ Goals per team

56%UCD +1.5@1.77

34%Drogheda United +1.5@2.96

25%UCD to win to nil@3.98

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

0.00Expected goals (xG)0.00

1Yellow cards1

55Possession %45

0Red cards0

6Corners4

1Shots on target1

5Shots1

Goals in the last 10 matches

Drogheda United · last 10 matches

6/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.0goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

UCDDrogheda United

0.0Goals scored per match1.2

0.0Goals conceded per match1.6

0%Matches with over 1.5 goals81%

0%Matches with over 2.5 goals53%

0%Both teams to score58%

0%Clean sheet31%

0%Matches without scoring22%

UCD: 0 matches · Drogheda United: 36 matches (all competitions with data).

UCD at home · Drogheda United away

UCD at home

0G0E0P

Drogheda United away

4G4E10P

LLLWD

When do they score and concede?

Drogheda United · goals by minute in 26 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Drogheda United

Scores first in 8 of 24 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 16 and avoids defeat in 6.

Players in form

UCD

Sin datos

Drogheda United

Brandon Kavanagh · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Mark Doyle · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Leo Burney · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

1UCD to win

2Draws

7Drogheda United to win

10 matches · 3.1 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-01-20	Drogheda United 1-1 UCD	Friendlies Clubs
2023-09-01	Drogheda United 3-0 UCD	Premier Division
2023-07-14	UCD 1-3 Drogheda United	Premier Division
2023-05-26	Drogheda United 3-1 UCD	Premier Division
2023-03-10	UCD 0-1 Drogheda United	Premier Division
2022-10-21	UCD 2-1 Drogheda United	Premier Division

More stats

Half-time

UCD: – days since last match · Drogheda United: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 20:00 UTC.