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U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club América prediction

Mexico · Liga MX
U.N.A.M. - Pumas badgeU.N.A.M. - Pumas#11 · 21 ptsWDLWD
2 - 2Full time
Club América badgeClub América#2 · 30 ptsDDLWW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Álex Zendejas 3'⚽ Cesar Huerta 4'⚽ Henry Martin 72' (p)⚽ Robert Morales 77' (p)

Saturday, November 7 · 22:10 (Peru time) · Estadio Olímpico Universitario · Referee: Cesar Arturo Ramos

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Club América to score

82%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+2🟨 Pablo BennevendoU.N.A.M. - Pumas
90'+2🔁 Sub: Pedro Vite · Luciano HerreraU.N.A.M. - Pumas
89'🔁 Sub: Kevin Alvarez · Dagoberto EspinozaClub América
89'🔁 Sub: Erick Sánchez · Edwin CerrilloClub América
88'📺 Cesar HuertaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
77'⚽ Robert Morales (pen.)U.N.A.M. - Pumas
77'🔁 Sub: Carlos Antuna · Alan MedinaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
72'⚽ Henry Martin (pen.)Club América
72'🔁 Sub: Álex Zendejas · Isaias ViolanteClub América
72'🔁 Sub: Oscar Andres Perea Abonce · Derek JimenezClub América
69'🟨 Keylor NavasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
63'🔁 Sub: Rodrigo López · Victor ArteagaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
63'🔁 Sub: Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnior · Álvaro AnguloU.N.A.M. - Pumas
61'🟨 Pedro ViteU.N.A.M. - Pumas
57'🔁 Sub: Carlos Álvarez · Miguel BorjaClub América
42'🟨 Adalberto CarrasquillaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
42'🟨 Alan CervantesClub América
36'📺 Robert MoralesU.N.A.M. - Pumas
24'🟨 Robert MoralesU.N.A.M. - Pumas
24'🟨 Erick SánchezClub América
23'🟨 Cesar HuertaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
23'🟨 Kevin AlvarezClub América
4'⚽ Cesar Huerta assist Carlos AntunaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
3'⚽ Álex Zendejas assist Oscar Andres Perea AbonceClub América

Win probability minute by minute

U.N.A.M. - PumasDrawClub América
At kick-off25%30%45%Full time0%100%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

25%U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win@4.06
30%Draw@3.28
45%Club América to win@2.23
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Both teams to score62%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas or draw55%
Club América or draw75%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to score72%
Club América to score82%

Most likely scores

1-114%1-29%0-07%0-17%2-27%

Expected goals per the model: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.28 · Club América 1.75

How many goals will there be?

5%0 goals15%1 goals22%2 goals22%3 goals17%4 goals19%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.03.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.9 in total · U.N.A.M. - Pumas 5.2 · Club América 5.7

70%Over 8.5@1.43
60%Over 9.5@1.66
50%Over 10.5@1.99
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.7

48%Over 3.5@2.09
31%Over 4.5@3.18
19%Over 5.5@5.23

⏱️ First half

44% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.32

73%Goal in the 1st half@1.36
38%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.62
82%Goal in the 2st half@1.22

⚽ Goals per team

37%U.N.A.M. - Pumas +1.5@2.73
52%Club América +1.5@1.92
11%U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win to nil@9.50

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1.61Expected goals (xG)1.85
3Shots on target2
2Offsides4
16Shots12
6Yellow cards3
4Corners2
0Saves1
18Fouls14
0Red cards0
46Possession %54

Goals in the last 10 matches

U.N.A.M. - Pumas · last 10 matches
7/10+2.5 goals8/10both teams to score3.4goals per match
2.5vs León: 3-1 3-1 ambosen Guadalajara Chivas: 0-3 0-3 en Atlas: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Atlético San Luis: 2-3 2-3 ambosvs Cruz Azul: 3-3 3-3 ambosen Atlante FC: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Santos Laguna: 0-2 0-2 vs Tigres UANL: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Puebla: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Club América: 2-2 2-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Club América · last 10 matches
8/10+2.5 goals10/10both teams to score4.7goals per match
2.5en Cruz Azul: 3-4 3-4 ambosvs Guadalajara Chivas: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Necaxa: 4-2 4-2 ambosvs Monterrey: 1-1 1-1 ambosen León: 5-3 5-3 ambosen Atlas: 5-2 5-2 ambosvs CF Pachuca: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Club Tijuana: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Toluca: 2-2 2-2 ambosat U.N.A.M. - Pumas: 2-2 2-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

U.N.A.M. - PumasClub América
1.5Goals scored per match2.4
1.6Goals conceded per match1.4
93%Matches with over 1.5 goals93%
60%Matches with over 2.5 goals67%
67%Both teams to score73%
7%Clean sheet27%
33%Matches without scoring0%
5.0Corners won per match6.5
1.5Yellow cards per match1.7

U.N.A.M. - Pumas: 15 matches · Club América: 15 matches (all competitions with data).

U.N.A.M. - Pumas at home · Club América away

U.N.A.M. - Pumas at home
1G4E2P
DDLWD
Club América away
5G1E1P
WWWLW

When do they score and concede?

U.N.A.M. - Pumas · goals by minute in 15 matches scored conceded
230-154316-303531-455446-603261-755776-90
Club América · goals by minute in 15 matches scored conceded
120-157216-305831-457146-607461-759476-90

The first goal

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Scores first in 7 of 14 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.

Club América

Scores first in 7 of 15 matches and wins 6 of them.

Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 6.

Players in form

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnior · 4 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Robert Morales · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

C. S. Huerta Valera · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

Club América

Henry Martin · 4 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches

B. Rodriguez · 2 goles, 2 assists in 4 matches

Erick Sánchez · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

4U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win
3Draws
3Club América to win

10 matches · 2.9 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-05-11U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-3 Club AméricaLiga MX
2026-05-03Club América 3-3 U.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX
2026-03-22U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-0 Club AméricaLiga MX
2025-09-28Club América 4-1 U.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX
2025-02-23U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0-2 Club AméricaLiga MX
2024-09-30Club América 0-1 U.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX

Standings

Liga MX standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Cruz Azul16+1132
2Club América16+1530
3Guadalajara Chivas16+1130
4Toluca16+1427
5Atlas16-327
6Santos Laguna16+325
7Club León16+223
8CF Pachuca16+922
9Club Tijuana16+322
10Monterrey15+121
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas16-221
12Club Querétaro15-520
13Puebla16-419
14Atlético San Luis16-519
15Tigres UANL16-815
16Atlante FC16-1014
17Necaxa16-1113
18FC Juárez16-2111

More stats

Referee: Cesar Arturo Ramos

2 matches · 2.5 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 1.00 penalties

Half-time

U.N.A.M. - Pumas: 8 days since last match · Club América: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 05:40 UTC.

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