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Türkiye U18 vs Germany U18 prediction

International · International friendlies
04:00Sat Nov 14

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Saturday, November 14 · 04:00 (Peru time) · Emirhan Sport Center

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

74%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Türkiye U18 and Germany U18 meet in the International friendlies.

The PickMania model gives Türkiye U18 a 38% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 34% for Germany U18.

2.7 total goals are expected (1.4 from Türkiye U18 and 1.3 from Germany U18): over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance and both teams to score 55%.

The most likely score is 1-1.

Probabilities

38%Türkiye U18 to win@2.65
28%Draw@3.54
34%Germany U18 to win@2.94
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score55%
Türkiye U18 or draw66%
Germany U18 or draw62%
Türkiye U18 to score74%
Germany U18 to score72%

Most likely scores

1-113%0-09%1-09%0-18%2-18%

Expected goals per the model: Türkiye U18 1.41 · Germany U18 1.33

How many goals will there be?

6%0 goals18%1 goals24%2 goals22%3 goals15%4 goals14%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.74.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

50% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.37

75%Goal in the 1st half@1.34
40%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.51
75%Goal in the 2st half@1.34

⚽ Goals per team

41%Turquía sub-18 +1.5@2.43
38%Alemania sub-18 +1.5@2.61
19%Türkiye U18 to win to nil@5.25

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Türkiye U18 · last 9 matches
5/9+2.5 goals4/9both teams to score2.7goals per match
2.5en Luxemburgo sub-18: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Luxemburgo sub-18: 1-0 1-0 vs Hungría sub-18: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Croacia sub-18: 0-3 0-3 en Finlandia sub-18: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Ucrania sub-18: 0-1 0-1 en Rumanía sub-18: 0-2 0-2 vs Uzbekistán sub-18: 2-0 2-0 en Portugal sub-18: 2-3 2-3 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Germany U18 · last 4 matches
2/4+2.5 goals2/4both teams to score2.3goals per match
2.5en Países Bajos sub-18: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Noruega sub-18: 1-0 1-0 vs Dinamarca sub-18: 2-0 2-0 en Túnez sub-18: 1-2 1-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Türkiye U18Germany U18
1.0Goals scored per match1.0
1.7Goals conceded per match2.0
78%Matches with over 1.5 goals100%
56%Matches with over 2.5 goals100%
44%Both teams to score100%
22%Clean sheet0%
33%Matches without scoring0%

Türkiye U18: 9 matches · Germany U18: 1 matches (all competitions with data).

Türkiye U18 at home · Germany U18 away

Türkiye U18 at home
2G0E1P
WLW
Germany U18 away
0G0E1P
LWL

When do they score and concede?

Türkiye U18 · goals by minute in 6 matches scored conceded
130-150416-301131-451046-600161-752176-90
Germany U18 · goals by minute in 1 matches scored conceded
000-150116-300031-450146-600061-751076-90

The first goal

Türkiye U18

Scores first in 2 of 6 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 0.

Germany U18

Scores first in 0 of 1 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Türkiye U18

N. Ercan · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Germany U18

R. Stolpe · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

More stats

Half-time

Türkiye U18: 39 days since last match · Germany U18: 171 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.

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