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Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt prediction

Norway · Eliteserien

Tromso#6 · 40 ptsLLDDW

0 - 2Full time

Bodo/Glimt#2 · 62 ptsDWLLW

14%23%63%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Ola Brynhildsen 45'⚽ Ola Brynhildsen 73'

Sunday, 8 November · 08:30 (Peru time) · Alfheim · Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen

🎯 Model pick

Tromso to score

66%

Full data

Tromso scored in 21 of 31 matches this season
Tromso average 1.6 goals per match
Nyhammer is on fire: 2 goals in his last 4 matches

⚡ Summary

63%Bodo/Glimt to win@1.58 65%Over 2.5 goals@1.53 60%Both teams to score@1.68 44%Corners +9.5 (9.3)@2.2717%Cards +4.5 (2.8)@5.831-1Most likely score · 10%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

83'🔁 Sub: Sondre Fet · Joshua KitolanoBodo/Glimt

73'⚽ Ola Brynhildsen assist Sondre AuklendBodo/Glimt

72'🔁 Sub: Daniel Braut · Heine Asen LarsenTromso

72'🔁 Sub: Vegard Erlien · Lars Olden LarsenTromso

65'🔁 Sub: Andreas Helmersen · Isak Dybvik MaattaBodo/Glimt

63'🔁 Sub: Morten Bjorlo · Jesper Andreas GrundtTromso

45'+1⚽ Ola Brynhildsen assist Andreas HelmersenBodo/Glimt

45'🔁 Sub: Ulrik Saltnes · Sondre AuklendBodo/Glimt

35'🔁 Sub: Ole Didrik Blomberg · Ola BrynhildsenBodo/Glimt

12'📺 Isak·DahlqvistTromso

Win probability minute by minute

TromsoDrawBodo/Glimt

At kick-off14%23%63%Full time0%0%100%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

14%Tromso to win@7.35

23%Draw@4.37

63%Bodo/Glimt to win@1.58

Over 1.5 goals86%

Over 2.5 goals65%

Over 3.5 goals46%

Both teams to score60%

Tromso or draw37%

Bodo/Glimt or draw86%

Tromso to score66%

Bodo/Glimt to score90%

Most likely scores

1-110%1-29%0-28%1-37%0-17%

Expected goals per the model: Tromso 1.10 · Bodo/Glimt 2.38

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.48.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.3 in total · Tromso 3.8 · Bodo/Glimt 5.5

55%Over 8.5@1.83

44%Over 9.5@2.27

35%Over 10.5@2.90

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 2.8 · el árbitro Ola Hobber Nilsen saca 3.5 por partido

30%Over 3.5@3.28

17%Over 4.5@5.83

9%Over 5.5@11.16

⏱️ First half

43% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.49

78%Goal in the 1st half@1.29

44%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.27

86%Goal in the 2st half@1.16

⚽ Goals per team

30%Tromso +1.5@3.32

69%Bodo/Glimt +1.5@1.46

5%Tromso to win to nil@19.84

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1.09Expected goals (xG)1.10

3Shots on target2

1Offsides3

13Shots9

4Corners4

0Saves3

0Yellow cards1

13Fouls11

0Red cards0

55Possession %45

Goals in the last 10 matches

Tromso · last 10 matches

5/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score3.3goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Bodo/Glimt · last 10 matches

5/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score3.0goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

TromsoBodo/Glimt

1.6Goals scored per match2.3

1.5Goals conceded per match1.1

81%Matches with over 1.5 goals85%

55%Matches with over 2.5 goals73%

45%Both teams to score45%

35%Clean sheet42%

32%Matches without scoring15%

4.8Corners won per match6.6

1.3Yellow cards per match0.6

Tromso: 31 matches · Bodo/Glimt: 33 matches (all competitions with data).

Tromso at home · Bodo/Glimt away

Tromso at home

8G5E2P

DWDDW

Bodo/Glimt away

9G3E4P

LWLLW

When do they score and concede?

Tromso · goals by minute in 31 matches scored conceded

Bodo/Glimt · goals by minute in 33 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Tromso

Scores first in 17 of 27 matches and wins 12 of them.

Concedes first in 10 and avoids defeat in 1.

Bodo/Glimt

Scores first in 25 of 32 matches and wins 22 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Tromso

Troy Engseth Nyhammer · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

H. Larsen · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Alexander Warneryd · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Bodo/Glimt

Sondre Fet · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches

Andreas Helmersen · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Jens Petter Hauge · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

3Tromso to win

3Draws

4Bodo/Glimt to win

10 matches · 3.3 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-05-16	Bodo/Glimt 5-0 Tromso	Eliteserien
2025-08-09	Bodo/Glimt 1-1 Tromso	Eliteserien
2025-05-16	Tromso 2-1 Bodo/Glimt	Eliteserien
2024-10-19	Tromso 0-0 Bodo/Glimt	Eliteserien
2024-05-16	Bodo/Glimt 4-0 Tromso	Eliteserien
2023-07-30	Bodo/Glimt 0-2 Tromso	Eliteserien

Standings

Eliteserien standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Viking	26	+42	62
2	Bodo/Glimt	26	+40	62
3	Rosenborg	26	+21	46
4	Lillestrom	26	+4	45
5	Molde	26	+20	44
6	Tromso	26	+3	40
7	Brann	26	+3	33
8	Valerenga	26	-4	32
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	26	-10	31
10	KFUM Oslo	26	-13	31
11	Ham-Kam	26	-15	30
12	Fredrikstad	26	-15	30
13	Sandefjord	26	-8	28
14	Kristiansund BK	26	-21	26
15	Aalesund	26	-15	24
16	Start	26	-32	19

More stats

Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen

31 matches · 3.3 yellows and 0.13 reds per match · 0.40 penalties

Half-time

Tromso: 6 days since last match · Bodo/Glimt: 4 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 16:40 UTC.