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Torreense vs União de Leiria prediction
Portugal · Segunda Liga
Torreense
União de LeiriaPre-match probabilities
Monday, November 9 · 15:15 (Peru time) · Estadio Manuel Marques · Referee: Helder Carvalho
Torreense to score
82%- Torreense scored in 9 of 13 matches this season
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Torreense 1.73 · União de Leiria 1.10
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.83.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.2 in total · Torreense 3.9 · União de Leiria 6.3
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.3
⏱️ First half
40% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.13
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Torreense: 13 matches · União de Leiria: 11 matches (all competitions with data).
Torreense at home · União de Leiria away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 5 of 11 matches and wins 4 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 2.
Scores first in 3 of 11 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 5.
Players in form
Javi Vazquez · 1 gol, 2 assists in 4 matches
Jorge Aguirre de Céspedes · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches
Malik Abubakari · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
Pablo Fernandez · 4 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
D. Martins · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches
Jair da Silva · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.3 goals per match
| 2026-02-08 | Torreense 3-1 União de Leiria | Segunda Liga |
| 2026-01-11 | Torreense 3-1 União de Leiria | Taça de Portugal |
| 2025-08-29 | União de Leiria 1-0 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
| 2025-04-06 | União de Leiria 1-3 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
| 2024-11-10 | Torreense 2-1 União de Leiria | Segunda Liga |
| 2024-08-03 | Torreense 0-0 União de Leiria | Friendlies Clubs |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penafiel | 10 | +12 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 10 | +8 | 22 |
| 3 | Benfica B | 10 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 10 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | União de Leiria | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 | Academica | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 | Tondela | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Farense | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 | Vizela | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 10 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | AVS | 10 | +1 | 13 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 10 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Torreense | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Amarante | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Felgueiras 1932 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | FC Porto B | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Chaves | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 18 | Feirense | 10 | -8 | 5 |
More stats
1 matches · 3.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
Torreense: 4 days since last match · União de Leiria: 9 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-09 22:50 UTC.