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Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul prediction
Mexico · Liga MX
Tigres UANL
Cruz AzulPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 20:00 (Peru time) · Estadio Universitario · Referee: Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas
Cruz Azul to score
83%- Cruz Azul scored in 13 of 15 matches this season
- Cruz Azul average 2.3 goals per match
- Tigres UANL concede 1.5 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Tigres UANL 1.21 · Cruz Azul 1.78
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.99.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 11.1 in total · Tigres UANL 6.0 · Cruz Azul 5.1
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 5.0 · el árbitro Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas saca 5.9 por partido
⏱️ First half
44% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.32
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Tigres UANL: 15 matches · Cruz Azul: 15 matches (all competitions with data).
Tigres UANL at home · Cruz Azul away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 5 of 13 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 2.
Scores first in 8 of 15 matches and wins 7 of them.
Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 3.
Players in form
Juan Brunetta · 4 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
G. Martinez · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
D. Lainez · 0 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Andrés Montaño · 5 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Agustín Palavecino · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Nicolás Ibañez · 1 gol, 2 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.1 goals per match
| 2026-02-15 | Cruz Azul 2-1 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| 2025-12-07 | Tigres UANL 1-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| 2025-12-04 | Cruz Azul 1-1 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| 2025-10-05 | Tigres UANL 1-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| 2025-05-02 | Cruz Azul 1-0 Tigres UANL | CONCACAF Champions League |
| 2025-04-24 | Tigres UANL 1-1 Cruz Azul | CONCACAF Champions League |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | +11 | 32 |
| 2 | Club América | 16 | +15 | 30 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | +11 | 30 |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | +14 | 27 |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | -3 | 27 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | +3 | 25 |
| 7 | Club León | 16 | +2 | 23 |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | +9 | 22 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | +3 | 22 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | +1 | 21 |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 | Club Querétaro | 15 | -5 | 20 |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | -4 | 19 |
| 14 | Atlético San Luis | 16 | -5 | 19 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | -8 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 | FC Juárez | 16 | -21 | 11 |
More stats
19 matches · 5.4 yellows and 0.44 reds per match · 0.56 penalties
Tigres UANL: 7 days since last match · Cruz Azul: 5 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 03:30 UTC.