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Teplice vs Pardubice prediction

Czechia · Czech Liga

Teplice#6 · 21 ptsWDLDW

1 - 4Full time

Pardubice#12 · 17 ptsLWWLW

40%31%29%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Robert Jukl 20' (p.p.)⚽ Dalibor Večerka 22'⚽ Arouna Ouattara 45'⚽ Matouš Trmal 49' (p.p.)⚽ Arouna Ouattara 58'

Sunday, 8 November · 07:00 (Peru time) · Na Stinadlech · Referee: Ales Mach

🎯 Model pick

Teplice to score

78%

Full data

Teplice scored in 9 of 13 matches this season
Teplice average 1.6 goals per match
Pardubice concede 1.5 goals per match

⚡ Summary

40%Teplice to win@2.50 53%Over 2.5 goals@1.89 60%Both teams to score@1.65 50%Corners +9.5 (9.9)@1.9938%Cards +4.5 (4.1)@2.611-1Most likely score · 14%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+1🟨 Matěj PulkrabTeplice

88'🔁 Sub: Václav Drchal · Tomas UrbanPardubice

88'🔁 Sub: Ryan Mahuta · Jan TredlPardubice

75'🔁 Sub: Victor Samuel · Ioannis Foivos BotosPardubice

74'🟨 Daniel MarečekTeplice

70'🟨 Dalibor VečerkaTeplice

69'🔁 Sub: Jan Fortelný · Matej NaprstekTeplice

69'🔁 Sub: Matej Riznič · Jaroslav HarustakTeplice

65'🔁 Sub: Arouna Ouattara · Tomas JelinekPardubice

64'🟨 Victor SamuelPardubice

58'⚽ Arouna Ouattara assist Václav DrchalPardubice

55'🔁 Sub: John Auta · Idris HopiTeplice

55'🔁 Sub: Marcel Cermak · Ladislav TakácsTeplice

55'🔁 Sub: Matej Radosta · Daniel MarečekTeplice

49'⚽ Matouš Trmal (own goal)Pardubice

48'❌ Dávid Krčík (missed pen.)Pardubice

45'+1⚽ Arouna Ouattara assist Victor SamuelPardubice

45'🔁 Sub: Abdoull Tanko · Tobias BoledovicPardubice

45'🟨 Václav DrchalPardubice

22'⚽ Dalibor Večerka assist Matěj PulkrabTeplice

20'⚽ Robert Jukl (own goal)Pardubice

Win probability minute by minute

TepliceDrawPardubice

At kick-off40%31%29%Full time0%0%100%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

40%Teplice to win@2.50

31%Draw@3.21

29%Pardubice to win@3.48

Over 1.5 goals78%

Over 2.5 goals53%

Over 3.5 goals33%

Both teams to score60%

Teplice or draw71%

Pardubice or draw60%

Teplice to score78%

Pardubice to score73%

Most likely scores

1-114%0-08%2-18%1-08%1-27%

Expected goals per the model: Teplice 1.56 · Pardubice 1.30

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.86.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.9 in total · Teplice 5.0 · Pardubice 5.0

61%Over 8.5@1.65

50%Over 9.5@1.99

40%Over 10.5@2.47

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.1

55%Over 3.5@1.81

38%Over 4.5@2.61

25%Over 5.5@4.05

⏱️ First half

48% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.36

74%Goal in the 1st half@1.35

39%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.54

78%Goal in the 2st half@1.29

⚽ Goals per team

46%Teplice +1.5@2.16

37%Pardubice +1.5@2.68

19%Teplice to win to nil@5.22

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

2.69Expected goals (xG)2.31

4Shots on target9

6Saves3

16Shots16

3Yellow cards2

8Corners6

0Offsides1

14Fouls18

0Red cards0

48Possession %52

Goals in the last 10 matches

Teplice · last 10 matches

3/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.4goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Pardubice · last 10 matches

8/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score2.9goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

TeplicePardubice

1.6Goals scored per match1.1

1.4Goals conceded per match1.5

77%Matches with over 1.5 goals92%

38%Matches with over 2.5 goals69%

46%Both teams to score69%

31%Clean sheet15%

31%Matches without scoring23%

5.7Corners won per match5.2

1.9Yellow cards per match2.0

Teplice: 13 matches · Pardubice: 13 matches (all competitions with data).

Teplice at home · Pardubice away

Teplice at home

2G3E2P

DDLWL

Pardubice away

2G1E4P

WLWDL

When do they score and concede?

Teplice · goals by minute in 13 matches scored conceded

Pardubice · goals by minute in 13 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Teplice

Scores first in 6 of 12 matches and wins 6 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 2.

Pardubice

Scores first in 6 of 12 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Teplice

Matěj Pulkrab · 1 gol, 1 assists in 2 matches

Jakub Jakubko · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

I. Hopi · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Pardubice

Václav Drchal · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Victor Samuel · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Ryan Mahuta · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

5Teplice to win

3Draws

2Pardubice to win

10 matches · 2.2 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-02-28	Pardubice 1-1 Teplice	Czech Liga
2025-09-28	Teplice 0-0 Pardubice	Czech Liga
2025-05-25	Teplice 3-0 Pardubice	Czech Liga
2025-03-01	Teplice 2-0 Pardubice	Czech Liga
2024-09-28	Pardubice 0-1 Teplice	Czech Liga
2024-02-17	Pardubice 1-1 Teplice	Czech Liga

Standings

Czech Liga standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Slavia Praha	14	+28	34
2	Slovan Liberec	13	+8	26
3	Mlada Boleslav	14	+7	25
4	Sparta Praha	14	+12	24
5	Sigma Olomouc	14	+2	24
6	Teplice	14	0	21
7	FK Jablonec	14	-2	21
8	Plzen	14	+7	20
9	Bohemians 1905	14	0	20
10	Zbrojovka Brno	14	-5	20
11	Hradec Králové	14	-1	18
12	Pardubice	14	-1	17
13	Baník Ostrava	13	-13	14
14	Artis	14	-13	10
15	Slovácko	14	-13	10
16	Zlin	14	-16	3

More stats

Referee: Ales Mach

2 matches · 3.0 yellows and 0.50 reds per match · 0.50 penalties

Half-time

Teplice: 7 days since last match · Pardubice: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 14:30 UTC.