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Tecnico Universitario vs Manta FC prediction
Ecuador · Liga Pro
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FCPre-match probabilities
Monday, November 9 · 15:30 (Peru time) · Estadio Bellavista · Referee: Patricio Parrao
Tecnico Universitario to score
85%- Manta FC concede 1.5 goals per match
- Manta FC kept a clean sheet in only 7 of 35
- Estupiñan is on fire: 2 goals in his last 5 matches
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Tecnico Universitario 1.92 · Manta FC 0.88
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.80.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.0 in total · Tecnico Universitario 4.9 · Manta FC 5.0
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 6.0
⏱️ First half
47% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.30
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Tecnico Universitario: 35 matches · Manta FC: 35 matches (all competitions with data).
Tecnico Universitario at home · Manta FC away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 15 of 35 matches and wins 9 of them.
Concedes first in 20 and avoids defeat in 3.
Scores first in 6 of 32 matches and wins 6 of them.
Concedes first in 26 and avoids defeat in 5.
Players in form
Luis Estupiñan · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Bagner Delgado · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Johan Bocanegra · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Jose Enrique Angulo Caicedo · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Jostin Alman · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
J. Vergés · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.2 goals per match
| 2026-10-10 | Manta FC 1-0 Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro |
| 2026-07-26 | Tecnico Universitario 1-0 Manta FC | Liga Pro |
| 2026-04-05 | Manta FC 0-2 Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro |
| 2025-11-29 | Tecnico Universitario 2-3 Manta FC | Liga Pro |
| 2025-10-19 | Manta FC 2-0 Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro |
| 2025-08-03 | Tecnico Universitario 3-1 Manta FC | Liga Pro |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | +40 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | +24 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | +5 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | +7 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | +7 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | -25 | 21 |
More stats
Tecnico Universitario: 7 days since last match · Manta FC: 6 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-09 23:00 UTC.