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Tavernes vs Valencia prediction

Spain · Copa del Rey

TavernesDD

0 - 6Full time

ValenciaLWLDD

2%3%95%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ D. Raba 1'⚽ H. Duro 11'⚽ L. Rioja 19'⚽ H. Elliott 23'⚽ A. Blazquez 57'⚽ A. Blazquez 69'

Tuesday, November 10 · 15:00 (Peru time) · Estadio de Mestalla

🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

79%

Partial data

Picky expects 3.1 goals (0.2 - 2.9)

⚡ Summary

95%Valencia to win@1.05 57%Over 2.5 goals@1.75 31%Both teams to score@3.20 0-2Most likely score · 21%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

74'🔁 Sub: J. Ferrer · R. Palero GasconTavernes

70'🔁 Sub: A. Blazquez · A. DanjumaValencia

70'🔁 Sub: A. Martinez · J. De HaasValencia

70'🔁 Sub: L. Rioja · J. GayaValencia

69'⚽ A. BlazquezValencia

60'🔁 Sub: J. Copete · I. CordobaValencia

60'🔁 Sub: D. Raba · A. MayolValencia

60'🔁 Sub: E. Alberola · J. PratsTavernes

60'🔁 Sub: J. Palomares Sansaloni · S. BonoTavernes

57'⚽ A. Blazquez assist L. RiojaValencia

49'🟨 L. RiojaValencia

46'🔁 Sub: J. Talens Torres · J. SeralTavernes

46'🔁 Sub: M. Montilla · E. MartinezTavernes

23'⚽ H. ElliottValencia

22'🟨 M. MontillaTavernes

19'⚽ L. Rioja assist A. MartinezValencia

11'⚽ H. Duro assist D. RabaValencia

9'🟨 F. UgrinicValencia

1'⚽ D. Raba assist A. BlazquezValencia

Win probability minute by minute

TavernesDrawValencia

At kick-off2%3%95%Full time0%0%100%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

2%Tavernes to win@60.61

3%Draw@34.48

95%Valencia to win@1.05

Over 1.5 goals79%

Over 2.5 goals57%

Over 3.5 goals35%

Both teams to score31%

Tavernes or draw5%

Valencia or draw98%

Tavernes to score19%

Valencia to score97%

Most likely scores

0-221%0-118%0-317%0-411%0-56%

Expected goals per the model: Tavernes 0.21 · Valencia 2.87

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.08.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

42% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.30

73%Goal in the 1st half@1.38

37%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.68

83%Goal in the 2st half@1.20

⚽ Goals per team

2%Tavernes +1.5@52.10

78%Valencia +1.5@1.28

1%Tavernes to win to nil@80.00

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Tavernes · last 3 matches

1/3+2.5 goals1/3both teams to score2.7goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Valencia · last 10 matches

6/10+2.5 goals3/10both teams to score2.9goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

TavernesValencia

0.5Goals scored per match0.7

0.5Goals conceded per match1.7

50%Matches with over 1.5 goals50%

0%Matches with over 2.5 goals50%

50%Both teams to score33%

50%Clean sheet33%

50%Matches without scoring50%

Tavernes: 2 matches · Valencia: 12 matches (all competitions with data).

Tavernes at home · Valencia away

Tavernes at home

0G1E0P

Valencia away

2G1E2P

WDWLL

When do they score and concede?

Tavernes · goals by minute in 1 matches scored conceded

Valencia · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Valencia

Scores first in 4 of 10 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Tavernes

Sin datos

Valencia

Umar Sadiq · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches

D. Otorbi · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

D. Raba · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

More stats

Half-time

Tavernes: 37 days since last match · Valencia: 3 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-10 22:30 UTC.