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Tarancón vs Levante prediction

Spain · Copa del Rey
13:00Thu Nov 12
Levante badgeLevanteDLLWD

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Thursday, November 12 · 13:00 (Peru time) · Estadio Municipal de Tarancon

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Levante to win

83%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Tarancón and Levante meet in the Copa del Rey.

The PickMania model gives Tarancón a 6% chance of winning, 11% for the draw and 83% for Levante.

4.0 total goals are expected (0.8 from Tarancón and 3.2 from Levante): over 2.5 goals has a 72% chance and both teams to score 42%.

The most likely score is 0-2.

Probabilities

6%Tarancón to win@16.08
11%Draw@9.27
83%Levante to win@1.20
Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals54%
Both teams to score42%
Tarancón or draw17%
Levante or draw94%
Tarancón to score54%
Levante to score94%

Most likely scores

0-210%0-39%0-17%1-27%1-37%

Expected goals per the model: Tarancón 0.81 · Levante 3.23

How many goals will there be?

2%0 goals7%1 goals14%2 goals19%3 goals20%4 goals38%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 4.04.

Corners, cards and first half

⚽ Goals per team

19%Tarancón +1.5@5.13
83%Levante +1.5@1.20
3%Tarancón to win to nil@39.68

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Levante · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score3.4goals per match
2.5vs Real Betis: 5-2 5-2 ambosen Málaga: 0-0 0-0 vs Barcelona: 2-4 2-4 ambosen Villarreal: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Sevilla: 3-3 3-3 ambosen Deportivo La Coruna: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Athletic Club: 3-1 3-1 ambosen Real Sociedad: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Atlético Madrid: 0-2 0-2 en Celta Vigo: 0-0 0-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

TarancónLevante
0.0Goals scored per match1.3
0.0Goals conceded per match1.8
0%Matches with over 1.5 goals75%
0%Matches with over 2.5 goals58%
0%Both teams to score58%
0%Clean sheet25%
0%Matches without scoring42%

Tarancón: 0 matches · Levante: 12 matches (all competitions with data).

Tarancón at home · Levante away

Tarancón at home
0G0E0P
Levante away
0G4E3P
DLDLD

When do they score and concede?

Levante · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded
040-154216-302531-452346-601361-757476-90

The first goal

Levante

Scores first in 2 of 9 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Tarancón

Sin datos

Levante

Roger Brugué · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Daniel Requena Sánchez · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Karl Etta Eyong · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

More stats

Half-time

Tarancón: – days since last match · Levante: 4 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 03:47 UTC.

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