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Thailand U23 vs Qatar U23 prediction

International · International friendlies

Thailand U23LLLLW

03:00Thu Nov 12

Qatar U23DDLWL

33%33%34%

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Thursday, November 12 · 03:00 (Peru time) · Pleiku Stadium

🎯 Model pick

Qatar U23 to score

70%

Partial data

Thailand U23 concede 2.7 goals per match
Thailand U23 kept a clean sheet in only 1 of 6
Thailand U23 in poor form: 4 defeats in their last 5

⚡ Summary

34%Qatar U23 to win@2.90 43%Over 2.5 goals@2.33 50%Both teams to score@1.99 1-1Most likely score · 15%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Thailand U23 and Qatar U23 meet in the International friendlies.

The PickMania model gives Thailand U23 a 33% chance of winning, 33% for the draw and 34% for Qatar U23.

2.4 total goals are expected (1.2 from Thailand U23 and 1.2 from Qatar U23): over 2.5 goals has a 43% chance and both teams to score 50%.

The most likely score is 1-1.

Probabilities

33%Thailand U23 to win@3.03

33%Draw@3.08

34%Qatar U23 to win@2.90

Over 1.5 goals70%

Over 2.5 goals43%

Over 3.5 goals23%

Both teams to score50%

Thailand U23 or draw66%

Qatar U23 or draw67%

Thailand U23 to score69%

Qatar U23 to score70%

Most likely scores

1-115%0-011%0-19%1-09%1-27%

Expected goals per the model: Thailand U23 1.20 · Qatar U23 1.23

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.43.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

36% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.88

58%Goal in the 1st half@1.71

22%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@4.56

79%Goal in the 2st half@1.27

⚽ Goals per team

34%Tailandia sub-23 +1.5@2.96

35%Catar sub-23 +1.5@2.87

18%Thailand U23 to win to nil@5.43

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Thailand U23 · last 7 matches

6/7+2.5 goals4/7both teams to score4.0goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Qatar U23 · last 8 matches

3/8+2.5 goals3/8both teams to score1.6goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Thailand U23Qatar U23

1.3Goals scored per match0.8

2.7Goals conceded per match1.2

83%Matches with over 1.5 goals67%

83%Matches with over 2.5 goals50%

67%Both teams to score50%

17%Clean sheet33%

17%Matches without scoring50%

2.0Corners won per match5.0

0.0Yellow cards per match3.0

Thailand U23: 6 matches · Qatar U23: 6 matches (all competitions with data).

Thailand U23 at home · Qatar U23 away

Thailand U23 at home

1G0E2P

LLWW

Qatar U23 away

1G1E1P

DLW

When do they score and concede?

Thailand U23 · goals by minute in 5 matches scored conceded

Qatar U23 · goals by minute in 3 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Thailand U23

Scores first in 3 of 5 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 0.

Qatar U23

Scores first in 1 of 2 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Thailand U23

J. Mamah · 2 goles, 0 assists in 2 matches

T. Chotmuangpak · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

C. Buaphan · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Qatar U23

M. Taha · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

H. Al Ghareeb · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Head to head

0Thailand U23 to win

1Draws

0Qatar U23 to win

1 matches · 2.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2018-08-14	Thailand U23 1-1 Qatar U23	Asian Games

More stats

Half-time

Thailand U23: 1 days since last match · Qatar U23: 2 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.