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Standard Liege vs SK Beveren prediction

Belgium · Jupiler Pro League
Standard Liege badgeStandard Liege#8 · 15 ptsDLLLL
3 - 0Full time
SK Beveren badgeSK Beveren#15 · 10 ptsLDLLW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ D. Eckert 5'⚽ D. Eckert 64' (p)⚽ D. Eckert 67'

Friday, November 6 · 14:45 (Peru time) · Maurice Dufrasne · Referee: Massimiliano Ledda

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Standard Liege to score

84%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'🔁 Sub: I. Hautekiet · D. DierckxStandard Liege
88'🔁 Sub: A. Abid · S. JasperStandard Liege
88'🔁 Sub: R. Touzghar · J. MakieseStandard Liege
87'🟨 S. KellerSK Beveren
85'🔁 Sub: E. Kabore · C. BrulsSK Beveren
85'🔁 Sub: V. Boone · J. RobatschSK Beveren
77'🔁 Sub: D. Eckert · B. NsimbaStandard Liege
77'🔁 Sub: A. Trouillet · M. IlaimaharitraStandard Liege
67'⚽ D. Eckert assist A. AbidStandard Liege
64'⚽ D. Eckert (pen.)Standard Liege
63'🔁 Sub: B. Godeau · S. KellerSK Beveren
46'🔁 Sub: C. Conde · F. SlegersSK Beveren
46'🔁 Sub: L. Jans · Y. GomisSK Beveren
38'🟨 B. GodeauSK Beveren
36'🟨 C. JanssensSK Beveren
5'⚽ D. Eckert assist A. AbidStandard Liege

Win probability minute by minute

Standard LiegeDrawSK Beveren
At kick-off50%29%22%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

50%Standard Liege to win@2.02
29%Draw@3.46
22%SK Beveren to win@4.63
Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Both teams to score61%
Standard Liege or draw78%
SK Beveren or draw50%
Standard Liege to score84%
SK Beveren to score70%

Most likely scores

1-113%2-19%1-08%2-08%0-07%

Expected goals per the model: Standard Liege 1.85 · SK Beveren 1.20

How many goals will there be?

5%0 goals14%1 goals22%2 goals22%3 goals17%4 goals19%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.05.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.8 in total · Standard Liege 5.3 · SK Beveren 5.6

69%Over 8.5@1.44
60%Over 9.5@1.68
50%Over 10.5@2.01
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.8 · el árbitro M. Ledda saca 3.8 por partido

49%Over 3.5@2.03
33%Over 4.5@3.05
20%Over 5.5@4.96

⏱️ First half

37% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.14

68%Goal in the 1st half@1.47
32%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.16
85%Goal in the 2st half@1.17

⚽ Goals per team

55%Standard Liege +1.5@1.81
34%SK Beveren +1.5@2.96
23%Standard Liege to win to nil@4.31

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

5Shots on target3
15Shots8
5Fouls17
3Corners5
3Offsides2
62Possession %38
0Yellow cards3
3Saves2
2.11Expected goals (xG)0.57

Goals in the last 10 matches

Standard Liege · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.0goals per match
2.5en KV Mechelen: 3-3 3-3 ambosvs RAAL La Louvière: 2-0 2-0 en OH Leuven: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Antwerp: 1-0 1-0 en KVC Westerlo: 2-4 2-4 ambosen Gent: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Charleroi: 0-1 0-1 en Genk: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Kortrijk: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs SK Beveren: 3-0 3-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

SK Beveren · last 10 matches
7/10+2.5 goals3/10both teams to score3.3goals per match
2.5vs Anderlecht: 1-0 1-0 en Zulte Waregem: 0-4 0-4 en Genk: 0-4 0-4 vs OH Leuven: 3-0 3-0 vs St. Truiden: 2-0 2-0 en Kortrijk: 0-1 0-1 vs Lommel United: 1-3 1-3 ambosen KVC Westerlo: 4-4 4-4 ambosvs Unión St. Gilloise: 1-2 1-2 ambosat Standard Liege: 0-3 0-3

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Standard LiegeSK Beveren
1.5Goals scored per match1.3
1.6Goals conceded per match2.0
80%Matches with over 1.5 goals80%
60%Matches with over 2.5 goals70%
70%Both teams to score40%
20%Clean sheet30%
10%Matches without scoring30%
6.1Corners won per match5.6
1.4Yellow cards per match2.0

Standard Liege: 10 matches · SK Beveren: 10 matches (all competitions with data).

Standard Liege at home · SK Beveren away

Standard Liege at home
2G2E1P
DLWWD
SK Beveren away
0G1E4P
DLLLL

When do they score and concede?

Standard Liege · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded
210-151116-302431-451246-608161-751776-90
SK Beveren · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded
120-151316-302431-453746-602261-754276-90

The first goal

Standard Liege

Scores first in 4 of 10 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 2.

SK Beveren

Scores first in 4 of 10 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Standard Liege

I. Hautekiet · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

A. Zeqiri · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

C. Nielsen · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

SK Beveren

C. Lokesa · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

A. Verschueren · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches

V. Olatunji · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches

Head to head

7Standard Liege to win
1Draws
2SK Beveren to win

10 matches · 3.1 goals per match

Recent meetings
2025-10-28SK Beveren 1-2 Standard LiegeCup
2021-01-11Standard Liege 3-1 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
2020-08-17SK Beveren 1-2 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
2019-12-21SK Beveren 2-1 Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League
2019-10-30Standard Liege 2-0 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
2019-03-17Standard Liege 4-3 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League

Standings

Jupiler Pro League standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Unión St. Gilloise11+2329
2Club Brugge KV11+1828
3Gent11+1428
4Charleroi11+1327
5Anderlecht11+220
6Lommel United11+216
7Genk11+315
8Standard Liege11+215
9KVC Westerlo11-414
10OH Leuven11-512
11KV Mechelen11-712
12St. Truiden11011
13Antwerp11-611
14Zulte Waregem11-711
15SK Beveren11-1010
16Cercle Brugge11-89
17RAAL La Louvière11-117
18Kortrijk11-194

More stats

Referee: M. Ledda

9 matches · 3.8 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties

Half-time

Standard Liege: 6 days since last match · SK Beveren: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 22:20 UTC.

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