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Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby prediction

England · FA Cup

Stafford RangersWDWDW

3 - 3Full time

GrimsbyLLWWW

56%25%19%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Darrhyl Mason 3'⚽ J. Birch 43'⚽ Harvey Rodgers 74'⚽ Maldini Kacurri 76'⚽ Darrhyl Mason 93'⚽ Géza Dávid Turi 105'⚽ luke banks 122' (p)⚽ Andy Cook 123' (p)⚽ Cian Doyle 124' (p)⚽ Kyle Sambor 125' (p)⚽ Justin Ikechukwu Obiora Amaluzor 126' (p)

Sunday, November 8 · 07:00 (Peru time) · Marston Road

🎯 Model pick

Stafford Rangers to score

84%

Partial data

Stafford Rangers scored in 6 of 6 matches this season
Stafford Rangers average 2.5 goals per match
Grimsby concede 3.0 goals per match

⚡ Summary

56%Stafford Rangers to win@1.78 57%Over 2.5 goals@1.75 56%Both teams to score@1.79 1-1Most likely score · 11%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

126'⚽ Justin Ikechukwu Obiora Amaluzor (pen.)Grimsby

126'❌ Luca Navarro (missed pen.)Stafford Rangers

125'⚽ Kyle Sambor (pen.)Stafford Rangers

124'❌ Harvey Washington (missed pen.)Stafford Rangers

124'⚽ Cian Doyle (pen.)Grimsby

123'⚽ Andy Cook (pen.)Grimsby

122'⚽ luke banks (pen.)Stafford Rangers

121'❌ J. Birch (missed pen.)Stafford Rangers

121'❌ Jamie Walker (missed pen.)Grimsby

120'+2🟨 Luca NavarroStafford Rangers

120'+1🔁 Sub: Todd Ferrier · luke banksStafford Rangers

120'+1🟨 Jamie WalkerGrimsby

120'🔁 Sub: T. Tonks · Luca NavarroStafford Rangers

105'+2⚽ Géza Dávid Turi assist Sonny FinchGrimsby

105'🔁 Sub: Mark Shelton · Cian DoyleGrimsby

99'🔁 Sub: Darrhyl Mason · W. Da SilvaStafford Rangers

95'🔁 Sub: Iwan Morgan · Sonny FinchGrimsby

93'⚽ Darrhyl Mason assist Bebeto António GomesStafford Rangers

90'+1🔁 Sub: Joe Foulkes · Jayden SweeneyGrimsby

89'🟨 Harvey RodgersGrimsby

80'🟨 Joe DunneStafford Rangers

77'🔁 Sub: Scott bakkor · Ellis HoranStafford Rangers

76'🟨 T. TonksStafford Rangers

76'⚽ Maldini Kacurri assist Iwan MorganGrimsby

74'⚽ Harvey Rodgers assist Iwan MorganGrimsby

67'🔁 Sub: Josh andrews · Andy CookGrimsby

64'🔁 Sub: Remi Efunnuga · Kyle SamborStafford Rangers

45'+2🟨 Cameron McJannettGrimsby

45'🔁 Sub: Finn Cartwright · Jamie WalkerGrimsby

45'🔁 Sub: Charles Vernam · Justin Ikechukwu Obiora AmaluzorGrimsby

43'⚽ J. BirchStafford Rangers

6'🟨 Bebeto António GomesStafford Rangers

3'⚽ Darrhyl Mason assist J. BirchStafford Rangers

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

56%Stafford Rangers to win@1.78

25%Draw@3.99

19%Grimsby to win@5.30

Over 1.5 goals79%

Over 2.5 goals57%

Over 3.5 goals38%

Both teams to score56%

Stafford Rangers or draw81%

Grimsby or draw44%

Stafford Rangers to score84%

Grimsby to score64%

Most likely scores

1-111%2-09%1-08%2-18%0-08%

Expected goals per the model: Stafford Rangers 2.07 · Grimsby 1.07

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.14.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

33% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.05

65%Goal in the 1st half@1.54

28%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.55

88%Goal in the 2st half@1.14

⚽ Goals per team

61%Stafford Rangers +1.5@1.63

29%Grimsby +1.5@3.45

28%Stafford Rangers to win to nil@3.54

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

6Shots on target10

6Saves3

6Offsides3

12Shots29

4Yellow cards3

8Corners9

22Fouls14

0Red cards0

46Possession %54

Goals in the last 10 matches

Stafford Rangers · last 7 matches

5/7+2.5 goals5/7both teams to score3.7goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Grimsby · last 5 matches

4/5+2.5 goals3/5both teams to score4.0goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Stafford RangersGrimsby

2.5Goals scored per match1.0

0.8Goals conceded per match3.0

100%Matches with over 1.5 goals100%

67%Matches with over 2.5 goals100%

67%Both teams to score100%

33%Clean sheet0%

0%Matches without scoring0%

4.3Corners won per match13.0

2.0Yellow cards per match0.0

Stafford Rangers: 6 matches · Grimsby: 1 matches (all competitions with data).

Stafford Rangers at home · Grimsby away

Stafford Rangers at home

3G1E0P

WDWW

Grimsby away

0G0E0P

When do they score and concede?

Stafford Rangers · goals by minute in 4 matches scored conceded

Grimsby · goals by minute in 1 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Stafford Rangers

Scores first in 3 of 4 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 1.

Grimsby

Scores first in 0 of 1 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Stafford Rangers

J. Birch · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

J. Dunne · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

R. Efunugga · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Grimsby

H. Rodgers · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

G. D. Turi · 0 goles, 1 assists in 1 matches

More stats

Half-time

Stafford Rangers: 18 days since last match · Grimsby: 91 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 15:01 UTC.