Home › France · Ligue 1 › Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon
Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon prediction
France · Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29
LyonPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 11:15 (Peru time) · Stade Francis-Le-Blé · Referee: Jeremy Stinat
Lyon to score
78%- Lyon scored in 14 of 17 matches this season
- Lyon average 1.6 goals per match
- Stade Brestois 29 concede 1.3 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Stade Brestois 29 1.25 · Lyon 1.55
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.80.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.8 in total · Stade Brestois 29 5.0 · Lyon 4.8
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.0 · el árbitro Jeremy Stinat saca 3.3 por partido
⏱️ First half
46% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.29
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Stade Brestois 29: 9 matches · Lyon: 17 matches (all competitions with data).
Stade Brestois 29 at home · Lyon away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 7 of 9 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 9 of 16 matches and wins 7 of them.
Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 3.
Players in form
Ludovic Ajorque · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
P. Mboup · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
M. Balde · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Corentin Tolisso · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Tanner Tessmann · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Pavel Šulc · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.8 goals per match
| 2026-01-18 | Lyon 2-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Stade Brestois 29 0-0 Lyon | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-03-02 | Lyon 2-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-01-11 | Stade Brestois 29 2-1 Lyon | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-04-14 | Lyon 4-3 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-09-23 | Stade Brestois 29 1-0 Lyon | Ligue 1 |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 10 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille | 10 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Marseille | 10 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Lyon | 10 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 | Nice | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 | Monaco | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Rennes | 10 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | +6 | 15 |
| 10 | Lorient | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 | Lens | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 10 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 10 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 10 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 10 | -13 | 2 |
More stats
10 matches · 3.0 yellows and 0.25 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
Stade Brestois 29: 5 days since last match · Lyon: 2 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 18:50 UTC.