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St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem prediction

Belgium · Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden badgeSt. Truiden#12 · 11 ptsDLLWW
4 - 1Full time
Zulte Waregem badgeZulte Waregem#14 · 11 ptsLLLLL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ S. Shinkawa 7'⚽ N. Ishiwatari 12'⚽ Z. Atrok 14'⚽ I. Sebaoui 64' (p)⚽ K. Matsuzawa 66'🟥 Y. Mbodji 74'

Sunday, November 8 · 13:15 (Peru time) · Stayen · Referee: Anthony Letellier

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

83%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

85'🔁 Sub: I. Sebaoui · R. MerlenSt. Truiden
81'🔁 Sub: R. Vanwesemael · T. HataSt. Truiden
78'🔁 Sub: Z. Atrok · S. UjkaZulte Waregem
78'🔁 Sub: A. Ementa · M. MbayeZulte Waregem
74'🟥 Y. MbodjiZulte Waregem
66'⚽ K. Matsuzawa assist A. SissakoSt. Truiden
65'🔁 Sub: S. Bazdar · F. SoelleSt. Truiden
65'🔁 Sub: S. Shinkawa · A. MujaSt. Truiden
65'🔁 Sub: N. Mbuku · K. MatsuzawaSt. Truiden
64'⚽ I. Sebaoui (pen.)St. Truiden
46'🔁 Sub: F. Tangala · Y. MbodjiZulte Waregem
45'🟨 E. LofolomoZulte Waregem
42'🟨 F. TangalaZulte Waregem
27'🟨 Z. AtrokZulte Waregem
14'⚽ Z. AtrokZulte Waregem
12'⚽ N. Ishiwatari assist R. VanwesemaelSt. Truiden
7'⚽ S. ShinkawaSt. Truiden

Win probability minute by minute

St. TruidenDrawZulte Waregem
At kick-off54%27%20%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

54%St. Truiden to win@1.87
27%Draw@3.74
20%Zulte Waregem to win@5.08
Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Both teams to score63%
St. Truiden or draw80%
Zulte Waregem or draw46%
St. Truiden to score87%
Zulte Waregem to score70%

Most likely scores

1-112%2-19%2-08%1-07%2-27%

Expected goals per the model: St. Truiden 2.05 · Zulte Waregem 1.23

How many goals will there be?

4%0 goals12%1 goals20%2 goals22%3 goals18%4 goals23%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.28.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.2 in total · St. Truiden 6.0 · Zulte Waregem 4.2

63%Over 8.5@1.58
53%Over 9.5@1.88
43%Over 10.5@2.31
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 2.9 · el árbitro A. Letellier saca 2.3 por partido

32%Over 3.5@3.10
19%Over 4.5@5.40
10%Over 5.5@10.16

⏱️ First half

44% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.43

76%Goal in the 1st half@1.31
42%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.39
84%Goal in the 2st half@1.19

⚽ Goals per team

61%St. Truiden +1.5@1.65
35%Zulte Waregem +1.5@2.87
24%St. Truiden to win to nil@4.21

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

9Shots on target2
16Shots9
10Fouls12
5Corners3
4Offsides2
68Possession %32
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
1Saves5
2.04Expected goals (xG)1.11

Goals in the last 10 matches

St. Truiden · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score3.3goals per match
2.5vs RAAL La Louvière: 4-0 4-0 en SK Beveren: 0-2 0-2 vs KVC Westerlo: 0-2 0-2 en KV Mechelen: 3-4 3-4 ambosvs FC Iberia 1999: 2-0 2-0 en FC Midtjylland: 1-0 1-0 en Club Brugge KV: 2-3 2-3 ambosvs OH Leuven: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Brann: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Zulte Waregem: 4-1 4-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Zulte Waregem · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals3/10both teams to score3.0goals per match
2.5en Unión St. Gilloise: 0-0 0-0 vs SK Beveren: 4-0 4-0 en KVC Westerlo: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Kortrijk: 2-0 2-0 vs Charleroi: 0-1 0-1 en Anderlecht: 0-3 0-3 vs Gent: 0-2 0-2 en RAAL La Louvière: 0-3 0-3 vs Club Brugge KV: 2-4 2-4 ambosat St. Truiden: 1-4 1-4 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

St. TruidenZulte Waregem
1.7Goals scored per match1.2
1.7Goals conceded per match1.6
87%Matches with over 1.5 goals80%
53%Matches with over 2.5 goals60%
53%Both teams to score30%
27%Clean sheet30%
20%Matches without scoring50%
5.9Corners won per match4.2
2.0Yellow cards per match1.2

St. Truiden: 15 matches · Zulte Waregem: 10 matches (all competitions with data).

St. Truiden at home · Zulte Waregem away

St. Truiden at home
3G2E3P
DLWLW
Zulte Waregem away
1G2E2P
LLWDD

When do they score and concede?

St. Truiden · goals by minute in 15 matches scored conceded
300-150616-305531-456746-604361-757576-90
Zulte Waregem · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded
030-152116-302631-453346-601161-754276-90

The first goal

St. Truiden

Scores first in 8 of 15 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 1.

Zulte Waregem

Scores first in 2 of 9 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

St. Truiden

F. Soelle · 1 gol, 3 assists in 5 matches

I. Sebaoui · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

R. Vanwesemael · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

Zulte Waregem

Tobias Hedl · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Anosike Ementa · 0 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

7St. Truiden to win
0Draws
3Zulte Waregem to win

10 matches · 3.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-02-15St. Truiden 3-2 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
2025-08-23Zulte Waregem 0-2 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
2023-01-11Zulte Waregem 2-0 St. TruidenCup
2022-12-27St. Truiden 2-0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
2022-09-17Zulte Waregem 0-3 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
2022-04-02Zulte Waregem 0-2 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League

Standings

Jupiler Pro League standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Unión St. Gilloise11+2329
2Club Brugge KV11+1828
3Gent11+1428
4Charleroi11+1327
5Anderlecht11+220
6Lommel United11+216
7Genk11+315
8Standard Liege11+215
9KVC Westerlo11-414
10OH Leuven11-512
11KV Mechelen11-712
12St. Truiden11011
13Antwerp11-611
14Zulte Waregem11-711
15SK Beveren11-1010
16Cercle Brugge11-89
17RAAL La Louvière11-117
18Kortrijk11-194

More stats

Referee: A. Letellier

9 matches · 2.2 yellows and 0.17 reds per match · 0.83 penalties

Half-time

St. Truiden: 2 days since last match · Zulte Waregem: 8 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 20:50 UTC.

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