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ST Mirren vs Rangers prediction

Scotland · Premiership
ST Mirren badgeST Mirren#8 · 14 ptsLDWLL
0 - 2Full time
Rangers badgeRangers#2 · 27 ptsDWDWW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Ryan Naderi 18' (p)⚽ Dan Neil 61'

Saturday, November 7 · 15:00 (Peru time) · The SMiSA Stadium

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

83%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

87'🔁 Sub: Alexander Gogić · Luke DouglasST Mirren
87'🔁 Sub: Dan Neil · Vanja DragojevićRangers
75'🔁 Sub: Kevin Kelsy · Tochi ChukwuaniRangers
74'🔁 Sub: Badredine Bouanani · Djeidi GassamaRangers
74'🔁 Sub: Min-su Kim · Findlay CurtisRangers
74'🔁 Sub: James Penrice · Tuur RommensRangers
69'🟨 Liam DonnellyST Mirren
64'🔁 Sub: Samuel Antonio Ramos Linares · Luke ThomasST Mirren
64'🔁 Sub: Fraser Taylor · Liam DonnellyST Mirren
64'🔁 Sub: Jake Young · Eseosa SuleST Mirren
61'⚽ Dan NeilRangers
60'🟨 Nicolas RaskinRangers
56'🟨 Min-su KimRangers
23'🟨 Fraser TaylorST Mirren
18'⚽ Ryan Naderi (pen.)Rangers
3'🟨 Calvin RamsayST Mirren

Win probability minute by minute

ST MirrenDrawRangers
At kick-off13%18%69%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

13%ST Mirren to win@7.99
18%Draw@5.42
69%Rangers to win@1.45
Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams to score54%
ST Mirren or draw31%
Rangers or draw87%
ST Mirren to score58%
Rangers to score90%

Most likely scores

0-211%1-29%0-19%1-18%0-38%

Expected goals per the model: ST Mirren 0.89 · Rangers 2.34

How many goals will there be?

4%0 goals13%1 goals21%2 goals22%3 goals18%4 goals22%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.23.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.4 in total · ST Mirren 3.9 · Rangers 6.5

65%Over 8.5@1.53
55%Over 9.5@1.80
46%Over 10.5@2.19
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.9

68%Over 3.5@1.46
52%Over 4.5@1.91
37%Over 5.5@2.69

⏱️ First half

49% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.59

80%Goal in the 1st half@1.26
47%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.12
81%Goal in the 2st half@1.24

⚽ Goals per team

22%ST Mirren +1.5@4.47
68%Rangers +1.5@1.47
5%ST Mirren to win to nil@18.38

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1.11Expected goals (xG)3.32
4Shots on target7
5Saves4
2Offsides0
11Shots17
3Yellow cards2
7Corners4
16Fouls22
0Red cards0
55Possession %45

Goals in the last 10 matches

ST Mirren · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.5goals per match
2.5en Kilmarnock: 1-0 1-0 vs Celtic: 1-2 1-2 ambosat Rangers: 0-1 0-1 vs Dundee Utd: 0-3 0-3 en Heart Of Midlothian: 0-5 0-5 en Aberdeen: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Dundee: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Hibernian: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Motherwell: 0-1 0-1 vs Rangers: 0-2 0-2

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Rangers · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.5goals per match
2.5en Aberdeen: 1-0 1-0 en Falkirk: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Motherwell: 1-0 1-0 vs ST Mirren: 1-0 1-0 en Celtic: 1-0 1-0 vs Kilmarnock: 3-1 3-1 ambosen Dundee: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs ST Johnstone: 4-0 4-0 en Heart Of Midlothian: 2-2 2-2 ambosat ST Mirren: 2-0 2-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

ST MirrenRangers
1.0Goals scored per match1.5
1.7Goals conceded per match0.9
67%Matches with over 1.5 goals60%
50%Matches with over 2.5 goals47%
42%Both teams to score53%
25%Clean sheet40%
33%Matches without scoring7%
4.0Corners won per match6.7
3.0Yellow cards per match1.9

ST Mirren: 12 matches · Rangers: 15 matches (all competitions with data).

ST Mirren at home · Rangers away

ST Mirren at home
2G2E2P
DWLLD
Rangers away
3G3E2P
DDWWW

When do they score and concede?

ST Mirren · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded
240-152216-304231-451446-601361-752576-90
Rangers · goals by minute in 15 matches scored conceded
420-154116-303331-453246-603361-755276-90

The first goal

ST Mirren

Scores first in 5 of 12 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.

Rangers

Scores first in 10 of 15 matches and wins 8 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

ST Mirren

Eseosa Sule · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Killian Phillips · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Calvin Ramsay · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Rangers

Ryan Naderi · 4 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Kevin Kelsy · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Badredine Bouanani · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

2ST Mirren to win
2Draws
6Rangers to win

10 matches · 2.8 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-09-09Rangers 1-0 ST MirrenPremiership
2026-08-16Rangers 5-1 ST MirrenLeague Cup
2026-03-15ST Mirren 0-1 RangersPremiership
2025-12-30Rangers 2-1 ST MirrenPremiership
2025-08-24ST Mirren 1-1 RangersPremiership
2025-04-26ST Mirren 2-2 RangersPremiership

Standings

Premiership standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Celtic13+1831
2Rangers12+1227
3Falkirk13+621
4Heart Of Midlothian12+420
5Dundee12+317
6Dundee Utd12017
7ST Johnstone13-317
8ST Mirren13-1014
9Motherwell13-613
10Hibernian12-211
11Aberdeen12-611
12Kilmarnock13-169

More stats

Half-time

ST Mirren: 7 days since last match · Rangers: 10 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 22:30 UTC.

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