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Sporting CP B vs Tondela prediction
Portugal · Segunda Liga
Sporting CP B
TondelaPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 13:00 (Peru time) · CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira · Referee: Carlos Macedo
Sporting CP B to score
72%- Sporting CP B scored in 8 of 9 matches this season
- Sporting CP B average 1.7 goals per match
- Couto is on fire: 4 goals in his last 5 matches
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Sporting CP B 1.30 · Tondela 1.15
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.45.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.6 in total · Sporting CP B 2.6 · Tondela 7.0
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 5.4 · el árbitro Carlos Macedo saca 6.0 por partido
⏱️ First half
44% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.07
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Sporting CP B: 9 matches · Tondela: 11 matches (all competitions with data).
Sporting CP B at home · Tondela away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 8 of 9 matches and wins 7 of them.
Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 0.
Scores first in 5 of 11 matches and wins 5 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 2.
Players in form
Mauro Couto · 4 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Rafael Nel · 2 goles, 1 assists in 3 matches
Z. Bafdili · 0 goles, 2 assists in 3 matches
Bebeto · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches
Antonio Tomane · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Hugo Félix · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penafiel | 10 | +12 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 10 | +8 | 22 |
| 3 | Benfica B | 10 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 10 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | União de Leiria | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 | Academica | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 | Tondela | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Farense | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 | Vizela | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 10 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | AVS | 10 | +1 | 13 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 10 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Torreense | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Amarante | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Felgueiras 1932 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | FC Porto B | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Chaves | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 18 | Feirense | 10 | -8 | 5 |
More stats
8 matches · 6.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
Sporting CP B: 8 days since last match · Tondela: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 20:30 UTC.