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Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth prediction
International · UEFA Europa League
Sparta Praha
BournemouthPre-match probabilities
Thursday, November 5 · 12:45 (Peru time) · Stadion Letná · Referee: Erik Lambrechts
Bournemouth or draw
85%- Bournemouth unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 (W W W W W)
- Away, Bournemouth are 2W 1D 2L this season
- #2 in the table, Sparta Praha #22
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Sparta Praha 0.89 · Bournemouth 2.00
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.89.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.4 in total · Sparta Praha 5.5 · Bournemouth 4.8
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.7
⏱️ First half
48% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.39
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Sparta Praha: 18 matches · Bournemouth: 12 matches (all competitions with data).
Sparta Praha at home · Bournemouth away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 9 of 16 matches and wins 8 of them.
Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 9 of 12 matches and wins 6 of them.
Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
Jonatan Braut Brunes · 4 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Andy Irving · 1 gol, 1 assists in 3 matches
Ki-Jana Hoever · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Francisco Evanilson · 4 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Marcus Tavernier · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Justin Kluivert · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 4 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 4 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 | Ferencvarosi TC | 4 | +8 | 12 |
| 4 | Unión St. Gilloise | 4 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventus | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 | Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Levski Sofia | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Lyon | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 15 | Anderlecht | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 16 | OFI | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 | Rennes | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 | Omonia Nicosia | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 | Torreense | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 | Real Sociedad | 4 | +5 | 5 |
| 21 | Crystal Palace | 4 | +3 | 5 |
| 22 | Sparta Praha | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 | Sturm Graz | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 25 | Celje | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 26 | Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 | Celta Vigo | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 | AC Milan | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 | Jagiellonia | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 30 | Plzen | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 31 | Marseille | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 32 | Celtic | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 33 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 34 | Lillestrom | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 4 | -10 | 1 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 4 | -10 | 0 |
More stats
Sparta Praha: 4 days since last match · Bournemouth: 5 days
M. Andersen, A. Karabec, J. Mercado, O. Penxa, M. Rynes, A. Sevinsky, E. Uchenna
M. Aarons, J. Araujo, F. Forster, D. Jebbison, V. Milosavljevic, J. Sanchez, A. Scott, A. Toth
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 00:30 UTC.