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Slovenia vs Switzerland prediction
International · UEFA Nations League
Slovenia
SwitzerlandProbabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo
Friday, November 13 · 14:45 (Peru time)
Switzerland or draw
82%- Switzerland unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 (W W W W D)
- Away, Switzerland are 2W 1D 0L this season
- Head to head: 2W 1D 0L for Switzerland
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
📝 Preview
Slovenia and Switzerland meet in the UEFA Nations League.
The PickMania model gives Slovenia a 18% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 56% for Switzerland.
2.5 total goals are expected (0.8 from Slovenia and 1.6 from Switzerland): over 2.5 goals has a 45% chance and both teams to score 46%.
The most likely score is 0-1.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Slovenia 0.83 · Switzerland 1.65
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.48.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 8.5 in total · Slovenia 3.7 · Switzerland 4.8
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.2
⏱️ First half
50% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.24
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Slovenia: 8 matches · Switzerland: 8 matches (all competitions with data).
Slovenia at home · Switzerland away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 2 of 7 matches and wins 1 of them.
Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 3.
Scores first in 6 of 7 matches and wins 4 of them.
Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
Aljosa Matko · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Danijel Sturm · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Andraž Šporar · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches
Dan Ndoye · 3 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches
Zeki Amdouni · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Fabian Rieder · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
3 matches · 2.0 goals per match
| 2026-10-03 | Switzerland 2-1 Slovenia | UEFA Nations League |
| 2025-10-13 | Slovenia 0-0 Switzerland | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| 2025-09-08 | Switzerland 3-0 Slovenia | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 4 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | FYR Macedonia | 4 | -10 | 0 |
More stats
Slovenia: 38 days since last match · Switzerland: 38 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.