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Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 prediction

Czechia · Czech Liga
Slovan Liberec badgeSlovan Liberec#2 · 26 ptsWLLDW
1 - 0Full time
Bohemians 1905 badgeBohemians 1905#9 · 20 ptsWDDWW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Vasil Kušej 72' (p)

Saturday, November 7 · 09:00 (Peru time) · Stadion u Nisy · Referee: Jan Vsetecka

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Slovan Liberec to score

83%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+1🟨 Roman KvetBohemians 1905
90'🟨 Vojtech StranskySlovan Liberec
78'🔁 Sub: Vasil Kušej · Augustin DrakpeSlovan Liberec
76'🔁 Sub: Petr Mirvald · Jan KovaříkBohemians 1905
72'⚽ Vasil Kušej (pen.)Slovan Liberec
71'🟨 Tomas FruhwaldBohemians 1905
64'🔁 Sub: Lukáš Masopust · Enej MarseticSlovan Liberec
64'🔁 Sub: Patrik Dulay · Vojtech StranskySlovan Liberec
64'🔁 Sub: Petr Hodous · Milan LexaSlovan Liberec
57'🔁 Sub: Alexandr Buzek · Vojtěch SychraSlovan Liberec
56'🔁 Sub: Šimon Černý · Václav PilařBohemians 1905
56'🔁 Sub: Benson Sakala · Aleš ČermákBohemians 1905
56'🔁 Sub: Jan Matoušek · Roman KvetBohemians 1905
56'🔁 Sub: Ladislav Krobot · Ladislav AlmásiBohemians 1905
48'🟨 Petr MirvaldBohemians 1905
45'+1🟨 Alexandr BuzekSlovan Liberec

Win probability minute by minute

Slovan LiberecDrawBohemians 1905
At kick-off58%24%18%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

58%Slovan Liberec to win@1.74
24%Draw@4.08
18%Bohemians 1905 to win@5.58
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams to score51%
Slovan Liberec or draw82%
Bohemians 1905 or draw42%
Slovan Liberec to score83%
Bohemians 1905 to score59%

Most likely scores

1-012%1-111%2-011%2-19%0-08%

Expected goals per the model: Slovan Liberec 1.81 · Bohemians 1905 0.91

How many goals will there be?

7%0 goals18%1 goals24%2 goals22%3 goals15%4 goals14%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.72.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.0 in total · Slovan Liberec 6.0 · Bohemians 1905 4.0

62%Over 8.5@1.62
51%Over 9.5@1.95
41%Over 10.5@2.41
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.6 · el árbitro Jan Vsetecka saca 4.8 por partido

64%Over 3.5@1.57
47%Over 4.5@2.12
32%Over 5.5@3.09

⏱️ First half

39% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.06

65%Goal in the 1st half@1.53
29%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.50
81%Goal in the 2st half@1.23

⚽ Goals per team

54%Slovan Liberec +1.5@1.85
23%Bohemians 1905 +1.5@4.33
33%Slovan Liberec to win to nil@3.05

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

2.27Expected goals (xG)1.38
8Shots on target5
5Saves7
1Offsides2
23Shots14
2Yellow cards3
7Corners5
11Fouls13
0Red cards0
51Possession %49

Goals in the last 10 matches

Slovan Liberec · last 10 matches
3/10+2.5 goals3/10both teams to score1.8goals per match
2.5vs Slavia Praha: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Zlin: 1-0 1-0 vs Hradec Králové: 2-0 2-0 en FK Jablonec: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Mlada Boleslav: 3-0 3-0 en Artis: 0-0 0-0 vs Slovácko: 0-2 0-2 en Sigma Olomouc: 0-1 0-1 en Pardubice: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Bohemians 1905: 1-0 1-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Bohemians 1905 · last 10 matches
4/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.0goals per match
2.5vs FK Jablonec: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Sigma Olomouc: 0-3 0-3 vs Slovácko: 2-0 2-0 en Pardubice: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Baník Ostrava: 1-0 1-0 vs Mlada Boleslav: 1-0 1-0 en Zbrojovka Brno: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Sparta Praha: 0-0 0-0 en Artis: 2-1 2-1 ambosat Slovan Liberec: 0-1 0-1

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Slovan LiberecBohemians 1905
1.3Goals scored per match1.1
0.7Goals conceded per match1.1
58%Matches with over 1.5 goals69%
33%Matches with over 2.5 goals46%
33%Both teams to score46%
42%Clean sheet46%
33%Matches without scoring23%
6.1Corners won per match4.2
2.3Yellow cards per match1.9

Slovan Liberec: 12 matches · Bohemians 1905: 13 matches (all competitions with data).

Slovan Liberec at home · Bohemians 1905 away

Slovan Liberec at home
2G1E2P
LWWDL
Bohemians 1905 away
2G2E3P
WDLLD

When do they score and concede?

Slovan Liberec · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded
030-152016-301031-453246-605261-754176-90
Bohemians 1905 · goals by minute in 13 matches scored conceded
240-153316-302131-451246-604261-753276-90

The first goal

Slovan Liberec

Scores first in 7 of 11 matches and wins 7 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 1.

Bohemians 1905

Scores first in 4 of 11 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 4.

Players in form

Slovan Liberec

Lukas Masek · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Vasil Kušej · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Vojtěch Sychra · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Bohemians 1905

Aleš Čermák · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Jan Matoušek · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

David Lischka · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

2Slovan Liberec to win
5Draws
3Bohemians 1905 to win

10 matches · 1.7 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-03-07Bohemians 1905 0-0 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
2025-10-04Slovan Liberec 0-0 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
2025-05-11Slovan Liberec 1-0 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
2025-05-04Bohemians 1905 4-1 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
2025-02-23Bohemians 1905 0-0 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
2024-09-22Slovan Liberec 2-2 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga

Standings

Czech Liga standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Slavia Praha14+2834
2Slovan Liberec13+826
3Mlada Boleslav14+725
4Sparta Praha14+1224
5Sigma Olomouc14+224
6Teplice14021
7FK Jablonec14-221
8Plzen14+720
9Bohemians 190514020
10Zbrojovka Brno14-520
11Hradec Králové14-118
12Pardubice14-117
13Baník Ostrava13-1314
14Artis14-1310
15Slovácko14-1310
16Zlin14-163

More stats

Referee: Jan Vsetecka

15 matches · 4.4 yellows and 0.40 reds per match · 0.00 penalties

Half-time

Slovan Liberec: 7 days since last match · Bohemians 1905: 2 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 16:30 UTC.

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