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Slovakia vs Faroe Islands prediction

International · UEFA Nations League
Slovakia badgeSlovakia#1 · 10 ptsWDWWD
14:45Fri Nov 13
Faroe Islands badgeFaroe Islands#2 · 4 ptsDDDDW

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Friday, November 13 · 14:45 (Peru time)

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

75%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Slovakia and Faroe Islands meet in the UEFA Nations League.

The PickMania model gives Slovakia a 69% chance of winning, 20% for the draw and 11% for Faroe Islands.

2.8 total goals are expected (2.1 from Slovakia and 0.7 from Faroe Islands): over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance and both teams to score 43%.

The most likely score is 2-0.

Probabilities

69%Slovakia to win@1.44
20%Draw@5.00
11%Faroe Islands to win@9.52
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score43%
Slovakia or draw90%
Faroe Islands or draw31%
Slovakia to score86%
Faroe Islands to score49%

Most likely scores

2-013%1-013%3-09%1-19%2-19%

Expected goals per the model: Slovakia 2.11 · Faroe Islands 0.68

How many goals will there be?

6%0 goals17%1 goals24%2 goals22%3 goals16%4 goals15%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.79.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 11.0 in total · Slovakia 6.9 · Faroe Islands 4.1

71%Over 8.5@1.42
61%Over 9.5@1.64
51%Over 10.5@1.95
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 2.5

26%Over 3.5@3.91
14%Over 4.5@7.33
7%Over 5.5@14.78

⏱️ First half

57% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.59

80%Goal in the 1st half@1.26
47%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.12
70%Goal in the 2st half@1.43

⚽ Goals per team

62%Eslovaquia +1.5@1.61
15%Islas Feroe +1.5@6.72
44%Slovakia to win to nil@2.30

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Slovakia · last 7 matches
4/7+2.5 goals4/7both teams to score2.9goals per match
2.5vs Rumanía: 2-0 2-0 vs Malta: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Montenegro: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Moldavia: 2-0 2-0 vs Kazajistán: 2-1 2-1 ambosat Faroe Islands: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Moldavia: 4-0 4-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Faroe Islands · last 6 matches
2/6+2.5 goals5/6both teams to score2.3goals per match
2.5vs Kazajistán: 1-0 1-0 en San Marino: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Kazajistán: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Moldavia: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Eslovaquia: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Kazajistán: 2-2 2-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

SlovakiaFaroe Islands
2.1Goals scored per match1.4
0.7Goals conceded per match1.2
100%Matches with over 1.5 goals100%
57%Matches with over 2.5 goals40%
57%Both teams to score100%
43%Clean sheet0%
0%Matches without scoring0%
7.0Corners won per match4.8
1.0Yellow cards per match1.3

Slovakia: 7 matches · Faroe Islands: 5 matches (all competitions with data).

Slovakia at home · Faroe Islands away

Slovakia at home
4G1E0P
WWDWW
Faroe Islands away
1G2E0P
DDW

When do they score and concede?

Slovakia · goals by minute in 7 matches scored conceded
400-151016-304331-452046-602261-752076-90
Faroe Islands · goals by minute in 5 matches scored conceded
100-152216-301131-450046-603261-750176-90

The first goal

Slovakia

Scores first in 7 of 7 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 0 and avoids defeat in 0.

Faroe Islands

Scores first in 3 of 5 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Slovakia

Ondrej Duda · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Tomáš Suslov · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches

Dávid Hancko · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Faroe Islands

Petur Knudsen · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Jákup Biskopstø Andreasen · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Árni Frederiksberg · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Head to head

0Slovakia to win
1Draws
0Faroe Islands to win

1 matches · 2.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-10-02Faroe Islands 1-1 SlovakiaUEFA Nations League

Standings

UEFA Nations League standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Slovakia4+710
2Faroe Islands404
3Moldova4-54
4Kazakhstan4-22

More stats

Half-time

Slovakia: 38 days since last match · Faroe Islands: 38 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC.

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