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Slovakia vs Faroe Islands prediction

International · UEFA Nations League

Slovakia#1 · 10 ptsWDWWD

14:45Fri Nov 13

Faroe Islands#2 · 4 ptsDDDDW

69%20%11%

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Friday, November 13 · 14:45 (Peru time)

🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

75%

Partial data

2+ goals in 7 of 7 Slovakia matches
Also in 5 of 5 Faroe Islands matches
Picky expects 2.8 goals (2.1 - 0.7)

⚡ Summary

69%Slovakia to win@1.45 51%Over 2.5 goals@1.95 43%Both teams to score@2.33 61%Corners +9.5 (11.0)@1.6414%Cards +4.5 (2.5)@7.331-0Most likely score · 13%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Slovakia and Faroe Islands meet in the UEFA Nations League.

The PickMania model gives Slovakia a 69% chance of winning, 20% for the draw and 11% for Faroe Islands.

2.8 total goals are expected (2.1 from Slovakia and 0.7 from Faroe Islands): over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance and both teams to score 43%.

The most likely score is 1-0.

Probabilities

69%Slovakia to win@1.45

20%Draw@4.93

11%Faroe Islands to win@9.33

Over 1.5 goals75%

Over 2.5 goals51%

Over 3.5 goals31%

Both teams to score43%

Slovakia or draw89%

Faroe Islands or draw31%

Slovakia to score86%

Faroe Islands to score49%

Most likely scores

1-013%2-013%1-19%3-09%2-19%

Expected goals per the model: Slovakia 2.10 · Faroe Islands 0.69

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.79.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 11.0 in total · Slovakia 6.9 · Faroe Islands 4.1

71%Over 8.5@1.42

61%Over 9.5@1.64

51%Over 10.5@1.95

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 2.5

26%Over 3.5@3.91

14%Over 4.5@7.33

7%Over 5.5@14.78

⏱️ First half

57% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.59

80%Goal in the 1st half@1.26

47%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.12

70%Goal in the 2st half@1.43

⚽ Goals per team

62%Eslovaquia +1.5@1.61

15%Islas Feroe +1.5@6.56

43%Slovakia to win to nil@2.32

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Slovakia · last 7 matches

4/7+2.5 goals4/7both teams to score2.9goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Faroe Islands · last 6 matches

2/6+2.5 goals5/6both teams to score2.3goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

SlovakiaFaroe Islands

2.1Goals scored per match1.4

0.7Goals conceded per match1.2

100%Matches with over 1.5 goals100%

57%Matches with over 2.5 goals40%

57%Both teams to score100%

43%Clean sheet0%

0%Matches without scoring0%

7.0Corners won per match4.8

1.0Yellow cards per match1.3

Slovakia: 7 matches · Faroe Islands: 5 matches (all competitions with data).

Slovakia at home · Faroe Islands away

Slovakia at home

4G1E0P

WWDWW

Faroe Islands away

1G2E0P

DDW

When do they score and concede?

Slovakia · goals by minute in 7 matches scored conceded

Faroe Islands · goals by minute in 5 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Slovakia

Scores first in 7 of 7 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 0 and avoids defeat in 0.

Faroe Islands

Scores first in 3 of 5 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Slovakia

Ondrej Duda · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Tomáš Suslov · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches

Dávid Hancko · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Faroe Islands

Petur Knudsen · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Jákup Biskopstø Andreasen · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Árni Frederiksberg · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Head to head

0Slovakia to win

1Draws

0Faroe Islands to win

1 matches · 2.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-10-02	Faroe Islands 1-1 Slovakia	UEFA Nations League

Standings

UEFA Nations League standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Slovakia	4	+7	10
2	Faroe Islands	4	0	4
3	Moldova	4	-5	4
4	Kazakhstan	4	-2	2

More stats

Half-time

Slovakia: 38 days since last match · Faroe Islands: 38 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.