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Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice prediction

Poland · Ekstraklasa
Slask Wroclaw badgeSlask Wroclaw#17 · 10 ptsLWLLL
0 - 0Full time
Piast Gliwice badgePiast Gliwice#7 · 22 ptsDWDWL

Pre-match probabilities

Saturday, November 7 · 08:45 (Peru time) · Stadion Śląska Wrocław · Referee: Bartosz Frankowski

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

83%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+3🔁 Sub: Hugo Vallejo · Maciej KucharskiPiast Gliwice
87'🟨 Quentin BoisgardPiast Gliwice
86'🔁 Sub: Leandro Mário Baldé Sanca · Jorge FélixPiast Gliwice
85'🔁 Sub: Oskar·Lesniak · Jakub LabojkoPiast Gliwice
83'🔁 Sub: Grzegorz Tomasiewicz · Adam CiućkaSlask Wroclaw
81'🟨 Alex Timossi AnderssonSlask Wroclaw
78'🟨 Francisco SierraltaPiast Gliwice
73'🔁 Sub: Lamine Ba · Mariusz MalecSlask Wroclaw
73'🔁 Sub: Eniss Shabani · luka marjanacSlask Wroclaw
61'🟨 Ema TwumasiPiast Gliwice
61'🔁 Sub: Karol Linetty · Jorge YriarteSlask Wroclaw
61'🔁 Sub: Przemyslaw Banaszak · Malaly DembeleSlask Wroclaw
60'🔁 Sub: Andreas Katsantonis · Samuel Ntamack NdimbaPiast Gliwice
60'🔁 Sub: Ivan Lima · Szczepan·MuchaPiast Gliwice
38'🟨 Przemyslaw BanaszakSlask Wroclaw
9'❌ Przemyslaw Banaszak (missed pen.)Slask Wroclaw

Win probability minute by minute

Slask WroclawDrawPiast Gliwice
At kick-off29%30%41%Full time0%100%0%
0%25%50%75%100% 0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

29%Slask Wroclaw to win@3.44
30%Draw@3.32
41%Piast Gliwice to win@2.45
Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score65%
Slask Wroclaw or draw59%
Piast Gliwice or draw71%
Slask Wroclaw to score77%
Piast Gliwice to score82%

Most likely scores

1-113%1-28%2-28%2-17%0-06%

Expected goals per the model: Slask Wroclaw 1.48 · Piast Gliwice 1.75

How many goals will there be?

4%0 goals13%1 goals21%2 goals22%3 goals18%4 goals22%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.23.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.7 in total · Slask Wroclaw 5.7 · Piast Gliwice 5.0

68%Over 8.5@1.47
58%Over 9.5@1.72
48%Over 10.5@2.07
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.9 · el árbitro Bartosz Frankowski saca 3.9 por partido

51%Over 3.5@1.95
35%Over 4.5@2.90
22%Over 5.5@4.64

⏱️ First half

36% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.16

69%Goal in the 1st half@1.45
32%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.08
87%Goal in the 2st half@1.15

⚽ Goals per team

44%Slask Wroclaw +1.5@2.30
52%Piast Gliwice +1.5@1.92
11%Slask Wroclaw to win to nil@8.73

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1Shots on target2
2Saves3
9Shots16
2Yellow cards3
4Corners6
0Offsides2
12Fouls8
0Red cards0
44Possession %56
1.67Expected goals (xG)1.31

Goals in the last 10 matches

Slask Wroclaw · last 10 matches
7/10+2.5 goals8/10both teams to score3.3goals per match
2.5vs Widzew Łódź: 3-3 3-3 ambosen Legia Warszawa: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Jagiellonia: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Korona Kielce: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Wisla Krakow: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Lech Poznan: 1-4 1-4 ambosen Motor Lublin: 2-3 2-3 ambosvs Wieczysta Kraków: 2-0 2-0 en Radomiak Radom: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Piast Gliwice: 0-0 0-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Piast Gliwice · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.5goals per match
2.5vs Legia Warszawa: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Motor Lublin: 2-0 2-0 vs GKS Katowice: 3-0 3-0 en Radomiak Radom: 2-0 2-0 vs Pogon Szczecin: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Widzew Łódź: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Gornik Zabrze: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Cracovia Krakow: 3-1 3-1 ambosen Wisla Plock: 2-2 2-2 ambosat Slask Wroclaw: 0-0 0-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Slask WroclawPiast Gliwice
1.3Goals scored per match1.9
1.9Goals conceded per match1.5
92%Matches with over 1.5 goals100%
77%Matches with over 2.5 goals62%
85%Both teams to score62%
15%Clean sheet23%
8%Matches without scoring15%
4.2Corners won per match4.2
1.9Yellow cards per match1.9

Slask Wroclaw: 13 matches · Piast Gliwice: 13 matches (all competitions with data).

Slask Wroclaw at home · Piast Gliwice away

Slask Wroclaw at home
2G2E2P
WLLDD
Piast Gliwice away
2G2E2P
DDWWL

When do they score and concede?

Slask Wroclaw · goals by minute in 13 matches scored conceded
320-151216-303431-451446-601661-758776-90
Piast Gliwice · goals by minute in 13 matches scored conceded
330-153116-305131-450346-603961-7510376-90

The first goal

Slask Wroclaw

Scores first in 5 of 12 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.

Piast Gliwice

Scores first in 7 of 13 matches and wins 6 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Slask Wroclaw

P. Samiec-Talar · 0 goles, 4 assists in 4 matches

Przemyslaw Banaszak · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Malaly Dembele · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Piast Gliwice

Hugo Vallejo · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Andreas Katsantonis · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Quentin Boisgard · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

1Slask Wroclaw to win
4Draws
5Piast Gliwice to win

10 matches · 2.3 goals per match

Recent meetings
2025-02-03Slask Wroclaw 1-3 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
2024-12-03Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Piast GliwiceCup
2024-07-28Piast Gliwice 2-0 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
2024-03-30Piast Gliwice 2-2 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
2023-09-23Slask Wroclaw 1-0 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
2023-04-06Slask Wroclaw 0-1 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa

Standings

Ekstraklasa standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Lech Poznan13+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14+1131
3Legia Warszawa14+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13+524
5Wisla Krakow14+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14+123
7Piast Gliwice14+422
8GKS Katowice14+521
9Jagiellonia13021
10Motor Lublin14-219
11Korona Kielce14-718
12Wisla Plock13-715
13Widzew Łódź14+114
14Radomiak Radom14-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14-712
16Raków Częstochowa14-812
17Slask Wroclaw14-810
18Wieczysta Kraków14-108

More stats

Referee: Bartosz Frankowski

12 matches · 3.6 yellows and 0.29 reds per match · 0.43 penalties

Half-time

Slask Wroclaw: 4 days since last match · Piast Gliwice: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 16:20 UTC.

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