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Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv prediction
Ukraine · Premier League
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo KyivPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 11:00 (Peru time) · Arena Lviv · Referee: Dmitriy Panchishin
Shakhtar Donetsk to score
83%- Shakhtar Donetsk scored in 11 of 15 matches this season
- Shakhtar Donetsk average 1.7 goals per match
- Alisson is on fire: 2 goals in his last 4 matches
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Shakhtar Donetsk 1.84 · Dynamo Kyiv 0.85
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.69.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.2 in total · Shakhtar Donetsk 4.9 · Dynamo Kyiv 4.3
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.7
⏱️ First half
43% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.15
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Shakhtar Donetsk: 15 matches · Dynamo Kyiv: 16 matches (all competitions with data).
Shakhtar Donetsk at home · Dynamo Kyiv away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 9 of 14 matches and wins 8 of them.
Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 2.
Scores first in 9 of 13 matches and wins 7 of them.
Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
Alisson · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
V. Tobias · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches
V. Bondar · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Matviy Ponomarenko · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Andriy Yarmolenko · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
N. Voloshyn · 0 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.5 goals per match
| 2026-10-27 | Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 Dynamo Kyiv | Cup |
| 2026-05-03 | Dynamo Kyiv 1-2 Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League |
| 2025-11-02 | Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| 2025-10-29 | Dynamo Kyiv 2-1 Shakhtar Donetsk | Cup |
| 2025-05-14 | Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 Dynamo Kyiv | Cup |
| 2025-04-27 | Shakhtar Donetsk 2-2 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 12 | +17 | 29 |
| 2 | Polessya | 11 | +17 | 28 |
| 3 | Dynamo Kyiv | 11 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Kharkiv | 9 | +11 | 21 |
| 5 | Karpaty | 11 | +14 | 19 |
| 6 | LNZ Cherkasy | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 7 | Zorya Luhansk | 12 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Kolos Kovalivka | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 12 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Bukovyna | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Chornomorets | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Livyi Bereh | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Veres Rivne | 12 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Obolon'-Brovar | 11 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Kudrivka | 12 | -17 | 8 |
| 16 | Kryvbas KR | 10 | -8 | 7 |
More stats
1 matches · 4.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
Shakhtar Donetsk: 4 days since last match · Dynamo Kyiv: 6 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 18:30 UTC.