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Sevilla vs Alavés prediction
Spain · La Liga
Sevilla
AlavésPre-match probabilities
Friday, November 6 · 15:00 (Peru time) · Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán · Referee: Luis Bestard Servera
Sevilla or draw
82%- At home, Sevilla are 3W 0D 2L this season
- Alavés in poor form: 3 defeats in their last 5
- #6 in the table, Alavés #12
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Sevilla 1.51 · Alavés 0.84
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.35.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 7.7 in total · Sevilla 4.0 · Alavés 3.7
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 5.1 · referee Luis Bestard Servera shows 5.0 per match
⏱️ First half
35% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.83
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Sevilla: 11 matches · Alavés: 11 matches (all competitions with data).
Sevilla at home · Alavés away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 8 of 11 matches and wins 4 of them.
Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 4 of 10 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 2.
Players in form
Felix Correia · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Youssouf Fofana · 1 gol, 3 assists in 5 matches
Isaac Romero · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Mariano Díaz · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
H. Novoa Ramos · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
A. Manas · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.8 goals per match
| 2026-02-14 | Sevilla 1-1 Alavés | La Liga |
| 2025-12-17 | Alavés 1-0 Sevilla | Copa del Rey |
| 2025-09-20 | Alavés 1-2 Sevilla | La Liga |
| 2025-04-20 | Sevilla 1-1 Alavés | La Liga |
| 2024-09-20 | Alavés 2-1 Sevilla | La Liga |
| 2024-01-12 | Sevilla 2-3 Alavés | La Liga |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | +35 | 33 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 | Atlético Madrid | 12 | +13 | 28 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | +1 | 22 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 12 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Alavés | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 | Elche | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 | Málaga | 12 | -14 | 5 |
More stats
14 matches · 5.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.20 penalties
Sevilla: 5 days since last match · Alavés: 6 days
M. Bueno, Marcao, Peque, I. Romero, M. Sierra
M. Rodriguez
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 22:30 UTC.