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SC Freiburg vs Unión Berlin prediction
Germany · Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
Unión BerlinPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 11:30 (Peru time) · Europa-Park-Stadion · Referee: Sascha Stegemann
SC Freiburg or draw
84%- At home, SC Freiburg are 6W 0D 1L this season
- #3 in the table, Unión Berlin #16
- Goto is on fire: 2 goals in his last 3 matches
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: SC Freiburg 2.07 · Unión Berlin 0.98
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.05.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.4 in total · SC Freiburg 5.8 · Unión Berlin 3.6
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.9 · el árbitro Sascha Stegemann saca 3.1 por partido
⏱️ First half
41% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.26
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
SC Freiburg: 15 matches · Unión Berlin: 10 matches (all competitions with data).
SC Freiburg at home · Unión Berlin away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 10 of 15 matches and wins 9 of them.
Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 3.
Scores first in 3 of 9 matches and wins 1 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 2.
Players in form
Keisuke Goto · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches
Igor Matanović · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Vincenzo Grifo · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Janik Haberer · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
L. Burcu · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Tim Skarke · 0 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.3 goals per match
| 2026-03-15 | SC Freiburg 0-1 Unión Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 2025-11-01 | Unión Berlin 0-0 SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| 2025-03-30 | SC Freiburg 1-2 Unión Berlin | Bundesliga |
| 2024-11-08 | Unión Berlin 0-0 SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| 2024-05-18 | Unión Berlin 2-1 SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| 2024-01-13 | SC Freiburg 0-0 Unión Berlin | Bundesliga |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | +14 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 9 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 | FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 | Unión Berlin | 9 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | -13 | 4 |
More stats
26 matches · 2.8 yellows and 0.30 reds per match · 0.40 penalties
SC Freiburg: 2 days since last match · Unión Berlin: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 19:00 UTC.