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San Lorenzo vs Platense prediction
Argentina · Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo
PlatensePre-match probabilities
Friday, November 6 · 17:15 (Peru time) · Estadio Pedro Bidegain · Referee: Felipe Viola
San Lorenzo or draw
76%- San Lorenzo unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 (D D W W L)
- At home, San Lorenzo are 8W 4D 6L this season
- #7 in the table, Platense #12
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: San Lorenzo 1.13 · Platense 0.87
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.00.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.4 in total · San Lorenzo 4.0 · Platense 5.3
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 5.0 · el árbitro Felipe Viola saca 5.5 por partido
⏱️ First half
45% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.90
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
San Lorenzo: 38 matches · Platense: 41 matches (all competitions with data).
San Lorenzo at home · Platense away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 7 of 19 matches and wins 5 of them.
Concedes first in 12 and avoids defeat in 4.
Scores first in 10 of 25 matches and wins 5 of them.
Concedes first in 15 and avoids defeat in 5.
Players in form
Rodrigo Auzmendi · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Alexis·Cuello · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
G. Corujo · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Franco Zapiola Yamartino · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Guido Mainero · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Bautista Merlini · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 1.6 goals per match
| 2026-04-25 | Platense 0-1 San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-08-16 | Platense 2-1 San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-05-25 | San Lorenzo 0-1 Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2025-02-13 | San Lorenzo 2-1 Platense | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2024-09-01 | Platense 1-2 San Lorenzo | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2024-03-10 | Platense 0-0 San Lorenzo | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | +12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 3 | Vélez Sarsfield | 16 | +6 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Córdoba | 16 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | +4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Unión Santa Fe | 16 | +4 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Córdoba | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Córdoba de Santiago | 16 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | -7 | 11 |
More stats
6 matches · 5.5 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 1.00 penalties
San Lorenzo: 6 days since last match · Platense: 4 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 00:50 UTC.