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Samsunspor vs Konyaspor prediction

Türkiye · Süper Lig
Samsunspor badgeSamsunspor#17 · 7 ptsLLLLL
1 - 0Full time
Konyaspor badgeKonyaspor#15 · 8 ptsLWLDD

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ A. Sekongo 39'

Saturday, November 7 · 08:00 (Peru time) · Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu · Referee: Gurcan Hasova

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

74%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+6🟨 J. MendesSamsunspor
90'+6🟨 Samsunspor
90'+4🔁 Sub: T. Coulibaly · G. GuarinoSamsunspor
88'🟨 E. DestanKonyaspor
78'🔁 Sub: A. Sekongo · O. OhlenschlaegerSamsunspor
77'🔁 Sub: E. Colley · E. BardhiKonyaspor
72'🔁 Sub: A. Sousa · J. AssoumouSamsunspor
72'🔁 Sub: M. Bayo · E. TavsanSamsunspor
61'🔁 Sub: Mostafa Mohamed · J. MulekaKonyaspor
61'🔁 Sub: D. Goncalves · E. DestanKonyaspor
46'🔁 Sub: U. Yazgili · Y. AndzouanaKonyaspor
46'🔁 Sub: R. Toth · M. JevtovicKonyaspor
39'⚽ A. Sekongo assist T. CoulibalySamsunspor
39'🟨 A. MasuakuKonyaspor
14'🟨 S. OnurSamsunspor

Win probability minute by minute

SamsunsporDrawKonyaspor
At kick-off31%33%36%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

31%Samsunspor to win@3.20
33%Draw@3.02
36%Konyaspor to win@2.81
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score55%
Samsunspor or draw64%
Konyaspor or draw69%
Samsunspor to score71%
Konyaspor to score74%

Most likely scores

1-115%0-010%0-18%1-28%1-08%

Expected goals per the model: Samsunspor 1.26 · Konyaspor 1.36

How many goals will there be?

7%0 goals19%1 goals25%2 goals22%3 goals14%4 goals13%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.62.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.8 in total · Samsunspor 5.1 · Konyaspor 4.8

60%Over 8.5@1.68
49%Over 9.5@2.03
39%Over 10.5@2.53
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.2 · el árbitro G. Hasova saca 4.4 por partido

57%Over 3.5@1.77
40%Over 4.5@2.52
26%Over 5.5@3.87

⏱️ First half

57% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.49

77%Goal in the 1st half@1.29
44%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.28
68%Goal in the 2st half@1.48

⚽ Goals per team

36%Samsunspor +1.5@2.79
39%Konyaspor +1.5@2.54
16%Samsunspor to win to nil@6.27

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

3Shots on target1
6Shots6
9Fouls12
2Corners3
1Offsides4
49Possession %51
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
1Saves2
0.70Expected goals (xG)0.57

Goals in the last 10 matches

Samsunspor · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score3.1goals per match
2.5en Rizespor: 2-0 2-0 vs Fenerbahçe: 0-2 0-2 en Kocaelispor: 0-1 0-1 vs Çorum FK: 1-5 1-5 ambosen Erzurumspor FK: 0-1 0-1 vs Trabzonspor: 0-3 0-3 en Kasımpaşa: 1-4 1-4 ambosvs Amed: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Başakşehir: 2-5 2-5 ambosvs Konyaspor: 1-0 1-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Konyaspor · last 10 matches
3/10+2.5 goals2/10both teams to score1.7goals per match
2.5vs Kocaelispor: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Erzurumspor FK: 0-1 0-1 vs Trabzonspor: 1-0 1-0 en Kasımpaşa: 0-0 0-0 vs Palestine: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Başakşehir: 0-0 0-0 en Amed: 0-1 0-1 vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.: 2-0 2-0 vs Galatasaray: 0-4 0-4 at Samsunspor: 0-1 0-1

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

SamsunsporKonyaspor
1.0Goals scored per match0.6
2.6Goals conceded per match1.3
80%Matches with over 1.5 goals40%
60%Matches with over 2.5 goals30%
50%Both teams to score20%
10%Clean sheet40%
40%Matches without scoring60%
4.2Corners won per match3.2
1.5Yellow cards per match2.2

Samsunspor: 10 matches · Konyaspor: 10 matches (all competitions with data).

Samsunspor at home · Konyaspor away

Samsunspor at home
0G1E4P
LLLLD
Konyaspor away
0G1E3P
LDLLL

When do they score and concede?

Samsunspor · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded
160-153416-303531-450246-601661-752376-90
Konyaspor · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded
220-150316-302131-451346-600161-751376-90

The first goal

Samsunspor

Scores first in 2 of 10 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 1.

Konyaspor

Scores first in 3 of 8 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Samsunspor

T. Coulibaly · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

E. Tavsan · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

L. Tomasson · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Konyaspor

C. Awaziem · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

D. Turuc · 0 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

2Samsunspor to win
4Draws
3Konyaspor to win

9 matches · 2.9 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-04-05Samsunspor 2-2 KonyasporSüper Lig
2025-11-02Konyaspor 1-3 SamsunsporSüper Lig
2025-02-16Konyaspor 0-1 SamsunsporSüper Lig
2024-09-14Samsunspor 0-1 KonyasporSüper Lig
2024-05-12Konyaspor 3-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
2023-12-21Samsunspor 1-1 KonyasporSüper Lig

Standings

Süper Lig standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Galatasaray11+1228
2Trabzonspor11+1825
3Amed11+1323
4Beşiktaş11+1122
5Kasımpaşa11+620
6Fenerbahçe11+1919
7Kocaelispor11+419
8Başakşehir11+217
9Çorum FK11016
10Göztepe11+315
11Rizespor11-314
12Erzurumspor FK11-714
13Alanyaspor11-912
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.11-911
15Konyaspor11-88
16Gaziantep FK11-108
17Samsunspor11-157
18Eyüpspor11-273

More stats

Referee: G. Hasova

10 matches · 4.3 yellows and 0.14 reds per match · 0.43 penalties

Half-time

Samsunspor: 6 days since last match · Konyaspor: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 15:30 UTC.

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