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Salamanca UDS vs Celta Vigo prediction

Spain · Copa del Rey

Salamanca UDS

15:00Fri Nov 13

Celta VigoDLLDW

10%17%73%

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Friday, November 13 · 15:00 (Peru time)

🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

83%

Partial data

2+ goals in 10 of 16 Celta Vigo matches
Picky expects 3.4 goals (0.9 - 2.6)

⚡ Summary

73%Celta Vigo to win@1.37 63%Over 2.5 goals@1.58 53%Both teams to score@1.90 0-2Most likely score · 11%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Salamanca UDS and Celta Vigo meet in the Copa del Rey.

The PickMania model gives Salamanca UDS a 10% chance of winning, 17% for the draw and 73% for Celta Vigo.

3.4 total goals are expected (0.9 from Salamanca UDS and 2.6 from Celta Vigo): over 2.5 goals has a 63% chance and both teams to score 53%.

The most likely score is 0-2.

Probabilities

10%Salamanca UDS to win@9.95

17%Draw@5.98

73%Celta Vigo to win@1.37

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals63%

Over 3.5 goals43%

Both teams to score53%

Salamanca UDS or draw27%

Celta Vigo or draw90%

Salamanca UDS to score56%

Celta Vigo to score90%

Most likely scores

0-211%0-19%0-38%1-28%1-17%

Expected goals per the model: Salamanca UDS 0.86 · Celta Vigo 2.59

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.45.

Corners, cards and first half

⚽ Goals per team

21%Salamanca UDS +1.5@4.70

73%Celta Vigo +1.5@1.37

4%Salamanca UDS to win to nil@22.32

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Celta Vigo · last 10 matches

6/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.1goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Salamanca UDSCelta Vigo

0.0Goals scored per match0.9

0.0Goals conceded per match1.0

0%Matches with over 1.5 goals63%

0%Matches with over 2.5 goals44%

0%Both teams to score44%

0%Clean sheet38%

0%Matches without scoring50%

Salamanca UDS: 0 matches · Celta Vigo: 16 matches (all competitions with data).

Salamanca UDS at home · Celta Vigo away

Salamanca UDS at home

0G0E0P

Celta Vigo away

1G4E2P

LWDLD

When do they score and concede?

Celta Vigo · goals by minute in 16 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Celta Vigo

Scores first in 6 of 11 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Salamanca UDS

Sin datos

Celta Vigo

Javier Rodríguez Galiano · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Pablo Durán Fernández · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Sergio Carreira Vilarino · 0 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

0Salamanca UDS to win

0Draws

1Celta Vigo to win

1 matches · 7.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2024-12-03	Salamanca UDS 0-7 Celta Vigo	Copa del Rey

More stats

Half-time

Salamanca UDS: – days since last match · Celta Vigo: 5 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.