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Saint Martin vs El Salvador prediction
International · Nations League Concacaf
Saint Martin
El SalvadorProbabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo
Friday, November 13 · 18:00 (Peru time)
Over 1.5 goals
82%- 2+ goals in 5 of 5 Saint Martin matches
- Also in 4 of 4 El Salvador matches
- Picky expects 3.3 goals (2.4 - 0.8)
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
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Saint Martin and El Salvador meet in the Nations League Concacaf.
The PickMania model gives Saint Martin a 71% chance of winning, 19% for the draw and 11% for El Salvador.
3.3 total goals are expected (2.4 from Saint Martin and 0.8 from El Salvador): over 2.5 goals has a 61% chance and both teams to score 52%.
The most likely score is 2-0.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Saint Martin 2.42 · El Salvador 0.85
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.27.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.9 in total · Saint Martin 7.9 · El Salvador 2.0
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.8
⏱️ First half
52% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.71
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Saint Martin: 5 matches · El Salvador: 4 matches (all competitions with data).
Saint Martin at home · El Salvador away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 3 of 4 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 0.
Scores first in 2 of 4 matches and wins 1 of them.
Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 0.
Players in form
A. Raga Rigobert · 7 goles, 2 assists in 4 matches
Y. Montantin · 1 gol, 5 assists in 4 matches
P. Arne · 5 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
H. Osorio · 1 gol, 2 assists in 3 matches
B. Gil · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Jefferson valladares · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
More stats
Saint Martin: 38 days since last match · El Salvador: 39 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.