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Rosenborg vs Start prediction

Norway · Eliteserien

Rosenborg#3 · 46 ptsWWWDW

4 - 1Full time

Start#16 · 19 ptsLWLLL

77%14%9%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Ole Selnaes 27'⚽ Jonas Svensson 42'⚽ Amin Chiakha 88' (p)⚽ Nikolaos Koutsakos 90'

Saturday, 7 November · 12:00 (Peru time) · Lerkendal Stadion · Referee: Espen Eskas

🎯 Model pick

Rosenborg to win

77%

Full data

Rosenborg have won 4 of their last 5 (W W W D W)
At home, Rosenborg are 7W 3D 2L this season
Start in poor form: 4 defeats in their last 5

⚡ Summary

77%Rosenborg to win@1.30 68%Over 2.5 goals@1.46 53%Both teams to score@1.90 58%Corners +9.5 (10.7)@1.7240%Cards +4.5 (4.2)@2.512-0Most likely score · 11%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+3⚽ Nikolaos Koutsakos assist Deni DashaevStart

88'⚽ Amin Chiakha (pen.)Rosenborg

86'📺 Iver FossumRosenborg

82'🔁 Sub: Jonas Svensson · David DurisRosenborg

82'🔁 Sub: Aslak Fonn Witry · Jonas Sogaard MortensenRosenborg

82'🔁 Sub: Steve Mvoue · nikola jojicStart

79'🟨 Deni DashaevStart

74'🟨 Ole SelnaesRosenborg

72'🔁 Sub: Mikael Ugland · Eirik SchulzeStart

72'🔁 Sub: Jesper Cornelius · Nikolaos KoutsakosStart

72'🔁 Sub: Mathias Ullereng Kjolo · Iver FossumRosenborg

71'🔁 Sub: Noah Sahsah · Jesper Reitan SundeRosenborg

63'🔁 Sub: Hakon Lorentzen · Marius NordalStart

57'🟨 Nemcik TomasRosenborg

53'🟨 Johan MeyerStart

45'+1🟨 Erlend SegbergStart

42'⚽ Jonas SvenssonRosenborg

27'⚽ Ole Selnaes assist Jonas SvenssonRosenborg

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

77%Rosenborg to win@1.30

14%Draw@7.15

9%Start to win@11.26

Over 1.5 goals86%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals47%

Both teams to score53%

Rosenborg or draw91%

Start or draw23%

Rosenborg to score93%

Start to score56%

Most likely scores

2-011%3-09%2-19%1-08%3-18%

Expected goals per the model: Rosenborg 2.76 · Start 0.83

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.59.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.7 in total · Rosenborg 5.8 · Start 4.9

68%Over 8.5@1.47

58%Over 9.5@1.72

48%Over 10.5@2.08

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.2 · el árbitro Espen Eskas saca 4.7 por partido

57%Over 3.5@1.76

40%Over 4.5@2.51

26%Over 5.5@3.85

⏱️ First half

46% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.66

81%Goal in the 1st half@1.23

50%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.02

85%Goal in the 2st half@1.17

⚽ Goals per team

76%Rosenborg +1.5@1.31

20%Start +1.5@4.95

41%Rosenborg to win to nil@2.47

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

2.13Expected goals (xG)0.56

5Shots on target2

1Saves2

1Offsides2

17Shots9

2Yellow cards3

6Corners3

9Fouls13

0Red cards0

71Possession %29

Goals in the last 10 matches

Rosenborg · last 10 matches

9/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score4.1goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Start · last 10 matches

5/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score3.3goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

RosenborgStart

2.0Goals scored per match1.0

1.2Goals conceded per match2.2

96%Matches with over 1.5 goals88%

64%Matches with over 2.5 goals56%

40%Both teams to score56%

40%Clean sheet12%

24%Matches without scoring32%

6.1Corners won per match4.4

1.9Yellow cards per match1.6

Rosenborg: 25 matches · Start: 25 matches (all competitions with data).

Rosenborg at home · Start away

Rosenborg at home

7G3E2P

DWWWW

Start away

1G1E10P

LLLWL

When do they score and concede?

Rosenborg · goals by minute in 22 matches scored conceded

Start · goals by minute in 22 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Rosenborg

Scores first in 15 of 21 matches and wins 11 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 3.

Start

Scores first in 9 of 22 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 13 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Rosenborg

Amin Chiakha · 5 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches

Emil Konradsen Ceide · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches

Mads Bomholt · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Start

John Olav Norheim · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

E. Segberg · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Hakon Lorentzen · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

7Rosenborg to win

1Draws

0Start to win

8 matches · 1.8 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-07-18	Start 0-3 Rosenborg	Eliteserien
2026-02-24	Rosenborg 2-1 Start	Friendlies Clubs
2020-11-01	Rosenborg 1-0 Start	Eliteserien
2020-07-16	Start 0-0 Rosenborg	Eliteserien
2018-11-11	Start 0-1 Rosenborg	Eliteserien
2018-04-22	Rosenborg 2-0 Start	Eliteserien

Standings

Eliteserien standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Viking	26	+42	62
2	Bodo/Glimt	26	+40	62
3	Rosenborg	26	+21	46
4	Lillestrom	26	+4	45
5	Molde	26	+20	44
6	Tromso	26	+3	40
7	Brann	26	+3	33
8	Valerenga	26	-4	32
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	26	-10	31
10	KFUM Oslo	26	-13	31
11	Ham-Kam	26	-15	30
12	Fredrikstad	26	-15	30
13	Sandefjord	26	-8	28
14	Kristiansund BK	26	-21	26
15	Aalesund	26	-15	24
16	Start	26	-32	19

More stats

Referee: Espen Eskas

28 matches · 4.5 yellows and 0.13 reds per match · 0.33 penalties

Half-time

Rosenborg: 7 days since last match · Start: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 19:30 UTC.