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Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto prediction
Argentina · Liga Profesional
Rosario Central
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 15:30 (Peru time) · Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre · Referee: Hernan Mastrangelo
Rosario Central to win
83%- Rosario Central have won 4 of their last 5 (W W W W D)
- At home, Rosario Central are 12W 6D 3L this season
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto in poor form: 4 defeats in their last 5
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Rosario Central 2.59 · Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0.46
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.05.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.9 in total · Rosario Central 5.4 · Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 4.5
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 5.5 · el árbitro Hernan Mastrangelo saca 6.1 por partido
⏱️ First half
39% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.20
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Rosario Central: 42 matches · Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: 31 matches (all competitions with data).
Rosario Central at home · Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 16 of 27 matches and wins 13 of them.
Concedes first in 11 and avoids defeat in 6.
Scores first in 3 of 17 matches and wins 1 of them.
Concedes first in 14 and avoids defeat in 2.
Players in form
Gaston Avila · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
A. Di Maria · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
J. Campaz · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches
Gabriel Alanis · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Ibrahim Hesar · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
M. Valiente · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
1 matches · 3.0 goals per match
| 2026-04-24 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1-2 Rosario Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | +14 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | +10 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | +4 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | +4 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano Córdoba | 16 | +4 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | +3 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junín | 16 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atlético Tucumán | 16 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | -19 | 5 |
More stats
33 matches · 5.8 yellows and 0.38 reds per match · 0.13 penalties
Rosario Central: 7 days since last match · Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 23:00 UTC.