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Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK prediction

Türkiye · Süper Lig

Rizespor#11 · 14 ptsDLLLD

2 - 1Full time

Erzurumspor FK#12 · 14 ptsLWWDW

40%32%28%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ A. Sowe 31'⚽ I. Diabate 37'⚽ A. Sowe 66'

Sunday, November 8 · 05:30 (Peru time) · Çaykur Didi Stadyumu · Referee: Direnc Tonusluoglu

🎯 Model pick

Rizespor to score

77%

Partial data

Erzurumspor FK concede 1.5 goals per match
Borrelli is on fire: 2 goals in his last 4 matches

⚡ Summary

40%Rizespor to win@2.51 51%Over 2.5 goals@1.97 57%Both teams to score@1.77 35%Corners +9.5 (8.4)@2.8325%Cards +4.5 (3.3)@3.941-1Most likely score · 15%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+2🟨 M. YumluErzurumspor FK

90'+1🔁 Sub: E. Owusu · S. AkgunErzurumspor FK

90'+1🔁 Sub: G. Giorbelidze · M. YumluErzurumspor FK

90'+1🔁 Sub: A. Sowe · M. C. TosunRizespor

87'🔁 Sub: Q. Laci · D. VaresanovicRizespor

87'🔁 Sub: A. Mebude · T. T. SanucRizespor

77'🔁 Sub: F. Ebosele · M. FettahogluErzurumspor FK

76'🔁 Sub: G. Kerk · E. TozluErzurumspor FK

76'🔁 Sub: M. Cardoso · M. RodriguezErzurumspor FK

66'⚽ A. Sowe assist A. MebudeRizespor

63'🔁 Sub: A. Kutucu · E. BulutRizespor

63'🔁 Sub: M. Diakite · T. AntalyaliRizespor

45'+1🟨 M. CardosoErzurumspor FK

45'🟨 G. KerkErzurumspor FK

37'⚽ I. Diabate assist G. KerkErzurumspor FK

31'⚽ A. Sowe assist I. OlawoyinRizespor

Win probability minute by minute

RizesporDrawErzurumspor FK

At kick-off40%32%28%Full time100%0%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

40%Rizespor to win@2.51

32%Draw@3.13

28%Erzurumspor FK to win@3.55

Over 1.5 goals76%

Over 2.5 goals51%

Over 3.5 goals31%

Both teams to score57%

Rizespor or draw72%

Erzurumspor FK or draw60%

Rizespor to score77%

Erzurumspor FK to score71%

Most likely scores

1-115%0-09%2-18%1-08%1-27%

Expected goals per the model: Rizespor 1.51 · Erzurumspor FK 1.25

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.76.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 8.4 in total · Rizespor 4.3 · Erzurumspor FK 4.1

45%Over 8.5@2.20

35%Over 9.5@2.83

27%Over 10.5@3.77

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.3

41%Over 3.5@2.45

25%Over 4.5@3.94

15%Over 5.5@6.87

⏱️ First half

38% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.05

65%Goal in the 1st half@1.54

28%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.55

82%Goal in the 2st half@1.22

⚽ Goals per team

45%Rizespor +1.5@2.24

36%Erzurumspor FK +1.5@2.81

20%Rizespor to win to nil@5.05

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

6Shots on target3

24Shots7

8Fouls13

8Corners2

0Offsides1

63Possession %37

0Yellow cards2

2Saves4

3.33Expected goals (xG)0.75

Goals in the last 10 matches

Rizespor · last 10 matches

6/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.8goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Erzurumspor FK · last 10 matches

5/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.4goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

RizesporErzurumspor FK

1.1Goals scored per match0.9

1.5Goals conceded per match1.5

70%Matches with over 1.5 goals70%

50%Matches with over 2.5 goals50%

40%Both teams to score30%

30%Clean sheet40%

40%Matches without scoring40%

4.8Corners won per match3.5

1.9Yellow cards per match1.3

Rizespor: 10 matches · Erzurumspor FK: 10 matches (all competitions with data).

Rizespor at home · Erzurumspor FK away

Rizespor at home

0G0E4P

LLLLD

Erzurumspor FK away

1G2E2P

WDLDL

When do they score and concede?

Rizespor · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded

Erzurumspor FK · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Rizespor

Scores first in 5 of 9 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 1.

Erzurumspor FK

Scores first in 5 of 9 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Rizespor

G. Borrelli · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Q. Laci · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

A. Mebude · 0 goles, 2 assists in 4 matches

Erzurumspor FK

M. Cardoso · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

E. Tozlu · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

G. Giorbelidze · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

3Rizespor to win

4Draws

3Erzurumspor FK to win

10 matches · 2.1 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-07-17	Erzurumspor FK 0-0 Rizespor	Friendlies Clubs
2026-01-15	Erzurumspor FK 2-0 Rizespor	Türkiye Kupası
2023-04-09	Erzurumspor FK 1-1 Rizespor	1. Lig
2022-11-04	Rizespor 3-1 Erzurumspor FK	1. Lig
2022-07-22	Erzurumspor FK 2-3 Rizespor	Friendlies Clubs
2021-11-13	Rizespor 1-4 Erzurumspor FK	Friendlies Clubs

Standings

Süper Lig standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Galatasaray	11	+12	28
2	Trabzonspor	11	+18	25
3	Amed	11	+13	23
4	Beşiktaş	11	+11	22
5	Kasımpaşa	11	+6	20
6	Fenerbahçe	11	+19	19
7	Kocaelispor	11	+4	19
8	Başakşehir	11	+2	17
9	Çorum FK	11	0	16
10	Göztepe	11	+3	15
11	Rizespor	11	-3	14
12	Erzurumspor FK	11	-7	14
13	Alanyaspor	11	-9	12
14	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	11	-9	11
15	Konyaspor	11	-8	8
16	Gaziantep FK	11	-10	8
17	Samsunspor	11	-15	7
18	Eyüpspor	11	-27	3

More stats

Half-time

Rizespor: 7 days since last match · Erzurumspor FK: 8 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 13:00 UTC.