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RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg prediction
Germany · Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
FC AugsburgPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 09:30 (Peru time) · Leipzig Red Bull Arena · Referee: Daniel Schlager
RB Leipzig or draw
85%- At home, RB Leipzig are 5W 0D 1L this season
- FC Augsburg in poor form: 3 defeats in their last 5
- #4 in the table, FC Augsburg #14
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: RB Leipzig 2.84 · FC Augsburg 1.37
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 4.21.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 11.0 in total · RB Leipzig 5.3 · FC Augsburg 5.7
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.6 · el árbitro Daniel Schlager saca 4.4 por partido
⏱️ First half
32% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.35
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
RB Leipzig: 12 matches · FC Augsburg: 8 matches (all competitions with data).
RB Leipzig at home · FC Augsburg away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 6 of 12 matches and wins 6 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 0.
Scores first in 5 of 8 matches and wins 1 of them.
Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 2.
Players in form
Antonio Nusa · 2 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches
Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Brajan Gruda · 0 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches
Fabian Rieder · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Michael Gregoritsch · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
R. Fellhauer · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 3.7 goals per match
| 2026-03-07 | RB Leipzig 2-1 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 2025-10-25 | FC Augsburg 0-6 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 2025-02-14 | FC Augsburg 0-0 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 2024-09-28 | RB Leipzig 4-0 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 2024-02-10 | FC Augsburg 2-2 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| 2023-09-16 | RB Leipzig 3-0 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | +14 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 9 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 | FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 | Unión Berlin | 9 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | -13 | 4 |
More stats
23 matches · 4.4 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
RB Leipzig: 2 days since last match · FC Augsburg: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 17:00 UTC.