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Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction

Denmark · Superliga
Randers FC badgeRanders FC#11 · 11 ptsLLDLL
1 - 6Full time
FC Nordsjaelland badgeFC Nordsjaelland#4 · 23 ptsLLDDD

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Alexander Lind 25'⚽ Mike Themsen 50'⚽ Ibrahim Adel 53'⚽ Peter Ankersen 55'⚽ Hjalte Rasmussen 63'⚽ Ibrahim Adel 75'⚽ Alexander Lind 80'

Sunday, November 8 · 10:00 (Peru time) · Cepheus Park Randers · Referee: Svend Funder

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

83%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

81'📺 Alexander LindFC Nordsjaelland
80'⚽ Alexander Lind assist Ibrahim AdelFC Nordsjaelland
78'🔁 Sub: Tobias Salquist · Stephen AcquahFC Nordsjaelland
78'🔁 Sub: Mohamed Sankoh · Hector LuxRanders FC
75'⚽ Ibrahim Adel assist Nicklas RojkjaerFC Nordsjaelland
73'🔁 Sub: Mike Themsen · Simon StükerRanders FC
72'🔁 Sub: Hjalte Rasmussen · Lamine SadioFC Nordsjaelland
72'🔁 Sub: Peter Ankersen · Juho LähteenmäkiFC Nordsjaelland
69'🔁 Sub: Amady Camara · Felix SommerRanders FC
69'🔁 Sub: Axel Henriksson · John BjorkengrenRanders FC
69'🔁 Sub: Elies Mahmoud · Cyril EdudziRanders FC
63'⚽ Hjalte Rasmussen assist Alexander LindFC Nordsjaelland
55'⚽ Peter Ankersen assist Nicklas RojkjaerFC Nordsjaelland
53'⚽ Ibrahim Adel assist Alexander LindFC Nordsjaelland
50'⚽ Mike Themsen assist Mohamed SankohRanders FC
25'⚽ Alexander Lind assist Ibrahim AdelFC Nordsjaelland
10'📺 Alexander LindFC Nordsjaelland

Win probability minute by minute

Randers FCDrawFC Nordsjaelland
At kick-off19%27%53%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

19%Randers FC to win@5.17
27%Draw@3.66
53%FC Nordsjaelland to win@1.88
Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score65%
Randers FC or draw47%
FC Nordsjaelland or draw81%
Randers FC to score70%
FC Nordsjaelland to score86%

Most likely scores

1-112%1-29%0-28%0-17%2-27%

Expected goals per the model: Randers FC 1.21 · FC Nordsjaelland 2.03

How many goals will there be?

4%0 goals13%1 goals21%2 goals22%3 goals18%4 goals23%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.24.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.3 in total · Randers FC 3.9 · FC Nordsjaelland 6.4

64%Over 8.5@1.56
54%Over 9.5@1.85
44%Over 10.5@2.27
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.1

55%Over 3.5@1.83
38%Over 4.5@2.63
24%Over 5.5@4.10

⏱️ First half

52% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.68

81%Goal in the 1st half@1.23
50%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.00
79%Goal in the 2st half@1.27

⚽ Goals per team

34%Randers FC +1.5@2.93
60%FC Nordsjaelland +1.5@1.66
8%Randers FC to win to nil@13.14

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

0.36Expected goals (xG)2.96
2Shots on target6
2Offsides4
5Shots12
0Corners1
0Saves1
9Fouls7
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
38Possession %62

Goals in the last 10 matches

Randers FC · last 10 matches
7/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.2goals per match
2.5en FC Midtjylland: 0-1 0-1 vs Aarhus: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Brondby: 3-0 3-0 vs Odense: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Sonderjyske: 2-4 2-4 ambosvs Viborg: 0-2 0-2 en AC Horsens: 0-0 0-0 vs Brondby: 1-3 1-3 ambosen Lyngby: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs FC Nordsjaelland: 1-6 1-6 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

FC Nordsjaelland · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score3.5goals per match
2.5vs Aarhus: 2-0 2-0 en Viborg: 1-4 1-4 ambosvs Odense: 0-0 0-0 en Heart Of Midlothian: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Lyngby: 3-3 3-3 ambosvs CSKA Sofia: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Silkeborg: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs FC Midtjylland: 2-3 2-3 ambosen Monaco: 0-2 0-2 at Randers FC: 6-1 6-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Randers FCFC Nordsjaelland
1.0Goals scored per match1.8
1.6Goals conceded per match1.1
77%Matches with over 1.5 goals77%
54%Matches with over 2.5 goals45%
46%Both teams to score45%
23%Clean sheet41%
38%Matches without scoring18%
4.4Corners won per match5.9
1.7Yellow cards per match2.1

Randers FC: 13 matches · FC Nordsjaelland: 22 matches (all competitions with data).

Randers FC at home · FC Nordsjaelland away

Randers FC at home
2G1E4P
LLLWL
FC Nordsjaelland away
3G5E4P
LDDDL

When do they score and concede?

Randers FC · goals by minute in 13 matches scored conceded
330-152516-303331-452246-603361-750576-90
FC Nordsjaelland · goals by minute in 22 matches scored conceded
720-154416-305931-454046-609461-7511676-90

The first goal

Randers FC

Scores first in 4 of 12 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 0.

FC Nordsjaelland

Scores first in 13 of 21 matches and wins 10 of them.

Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 4.

Players in form

Randers FC

Mohamed Sankoh · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

E. Mahmoud · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Mike Themsen · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

FC Nordsjaelland

Runar Robinsonn Norheim · 1 gol, 3 assists in 5 matches

Ibrahim Adel · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Justin Janssen · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

3Randers FC to win
2Draws
5FC Nordsjaelland to win

10 matches · 3.5 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-08-02FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 Randers FCSuperliga
2025-10-19FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 Randers FCSuperliga
2025-09-22Randers FC 3-0 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
2025-05-02Randers FC 3-2 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
2025-04-13FC Nordsjaelland 5-2 Randers FCSuperliga
2024-10-28Randers FC 4-0 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga

Standings

Superliga standings
#TeamPGDPts
1FC Copenhagen14+1732
2FC Midtjylland14+1232
3Viborg14+926
4FC Nordsjaelland14+823
5Brondby14+222
6Odense14-317
7AC Horsens14016
8Aarhus14-215
9Silkeborg14-615
10Lyngby14-1011
11Randers FC14-1311
12Sonderjyske14-149

More stats

Referee: Svend Funder

1 matches · 2.0 yellows and 1.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties

Half-time

Randers FC: 8 days since last match · FC Nordsjaelland: 2 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 17:30 UTC.

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