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Radnik Surdulica vs OFK Beograd prediction

Serbia · Super Liga

Radnik Surdulica#6 · 23 ptsWLWLD

2 - 1Full time

OFK Beograd#12 · 11 ptsLLDDL

43%28%29%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Milos Spasic 43'⚽ ethan hoard 86'⚽ David Stojanovic 90'

Sunday, November 8 · 07:00 (Peru time) · Stadion FK Radnik

🎯 Model pick

Radnik Surdulica to score

77%

Full data

Radnik Surdulica scored in 10 of 14 matches this season
Radnik Surdulica average 1.3 goals per match
OFK Beograd concede 1.8 goals per match

⚡ Summary

43%Radnik Surdulica to win@2.32 49%Over 2.5 goals@2.03 57%Both teams to score@1.76 37%Corners +9.5 (8.6)@2.7459%Cards +4.5 (5.4)@1.701-1Most likely score · 13%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+4⚽ David StojanovicRadnik Surdulica

90'🟨 Filip ZunicRadnik Surdulica

89'🟨 Milan RodićOFK Beograd

86'⚽ ethan hoard assist Aleksa VasilićOFK Beograd

77'🔁 Sub: Milos Spasic · Djordje JovanovicRadnik Surdulica

76'🔁 Sub: Nikola Maraš · Milan RodićOFK Beograd

72'🔁 Sub: Dognimani Yacouba Silue · ethan hoardOFK Beograd

72'🔁 Sub: Tjay De Barr · Hameed AderojuOFK Beograd

72'🔁 Sub: J. Šljivić · Aleksa VasilićOFK Beograd

67'🟨 Luka JovanovićRadnik Surdulica

67'🟨 Vukasin BogdanovicRadnik Surdulica

58'🔁 Sub: Aleksandar Pejović · Sadick AbubakarRadnik Surdulica

58'🟨 A. VukičevićOFK Beograd

57'🔁 Sub: Edmund Addo · luka zaricOFK Beograd

45'🔁 Sub: Tijan Sohna · Filip ZunicRadnik Surdulica

43'⚽ Milos Spasic assist Martin NovakovicRadnik Surdulica

37'🔁 Sub: Emmanuel Quarshie · Luka JovanovićRadnik Surdulica

34'🟨 Aleksandar PejovićRadnik Surdulica

21'🟨 Edmund AddoOFK Beograd

Win probability minute by minute

Radnik SurdulicaDrawOFK Beograd

At kick-off43%28%29%Full time0%100%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

43%Radnik Surdulica to win@2.32

28%Draw@3.59

29%OFK Beograd to win@3.43

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals49%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score57%

Radnik Surdulica or draw71%

OFK Beograd or draw57%

Radnik Surdulica to score77%

OFK Beograd to score69%

Most likely scores

1-113%1-010%2-19%0-09%2-07%

Expected goals per the model: Radnik Surdulica 1.49 · OFK Beograd 1.18

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.67.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 8.6 in total · Radnik Surdulica 4.6 · OFK Beograd 3.9

47%Over 8.5@2.14

37%Over 9.5@2.74

28%Over 10.5@3.62

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 5.4

74%Over 3.5@1.35

59%Over 4.5@1.70

44%Over 5.5@2.29

⏱️ First half

43% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.15

68%Goal in the 1st half@1.46

32%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.13

78%Goal in the 2st half@1.28

⚽ Goals per team

44%Radnik Surdulica +1.5@2.28

33%OFK Beograd +1.5@3.03

23%Radnik Surdulica to win to nil@4.41

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1.06Expected goals (xG)0.84

4Shots on target6

5Saves3

1Offsides2

17Shots14

4Yellow cards3

6Corners8

14Fouls10

0Red cards0

52Possession %48

Goals in the last 10 matches

Radnik Surdulica · last 10 matches

5/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.9goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

OFK Beograd · last 10 matches

4/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.7goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Radnik SurdulicaOFK Beograd

1.3Goals scored per match1.0

1.2Goals conceded per match1.8

57%Matches with over 1.5 goals71%

43%Matches with over 2.5 goals43%

50%Both teams to score50%

36%Clean sheet21%

29%Matches without scoring43%

4.7Corners won per match3.4

2.9Yellow cards per match2.3

Radnik Surdulica: 14 matches · OFK Beograd: 14 matches (all competitions with data).

Radnik Surdulica at home · OFK Beograd away

Radnik Surdulica at home

4G3E0P

WDDWW

OFK Beograd away

1G2E4P

DDLLL

When do they score and concede?

Radnik Surdulica · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded

OFK Beograd · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Radnik Surdulica

Scores first in 6 of 12 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 3.

OFK Beograd

Scores first in 5 of 12 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Radnik Surdulica

Vukasin Bogdanovic · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Uros Lazic · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

M. Novakovic · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

OFK Beograd

D. Y. Silue · 3 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches

T. Wouter · 0 goles, 2 assists in 4 matches

A. Pavlovic · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

1Radnik Surdulica to win

3Draws

0OFK Beograd to win

4 matches · 0.8 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-07-25	OFK Beograd 0-0 Radnik Surdulica	Super Liga
2026-04-26	OFK Beograd 1-1 Radnik Surdulica	Super Liga
2026-04-09	OFK Beograd 0-0 Radnik Surdulica	Super Liga
2025-11-08	Radnik Surdulica 1-0 OFK Beograd	Super Liga

Standings

Super Liga standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	FK Crvena Zvezda	15	+32	43
2	Vojvodina	15	+17	32
3	Železničar Pančevo	14	+12	29
4	IMT Novi Beograd	15	+6	23
5	Radnicki 1923	15	+3	23
6	Radnik Surdulica	15	+2	23
7	Cukaricki	15	0	22
8	Novi Pazar	15	-1	19
9	Mladost Lucani	15	-9	18
10	FK Partizan	15	-1	17
11	Macva	15	-13	13
12	OFK Beograd	15	-12	11
13	Radnicki NIS	14	-15	8
14	Zemun	15	-21	7

More stats

Half-time

Radnik Surdulica: 5 days since last match · OFK Beograd: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 14:30 UTC.