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RAAL La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge prediction

Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

RAAL La Louvière#17 · 7 ptsLWLLW

0 - 1Full time

Cercle Brugge#16 · 9 ptsWLLLD

40%33%27%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ S. Ngoura 6'

Saturday, November 7 · 14:45 (Peru time) · Stade Communal du Tivoli · Referee: Wim Smet

🎯 Model pick

RAAL La Louvière to score

77%

Full data

RAAL La Louvière scored in 7 of 10 matches this season
RAAL La Louvière average 1.3 goals per match
Cercle Brugge concede 2.2 goals per match

⚡ Summary

40%RAAL La Louvière to win@2.50 49%Over 2.5 goals@2.03 55%Both teams to score@1.81 53%Corners +9.5 (10.2)@1.8739%Cards +4.5 (4.1)@2.591-1Most likely score · 15%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

87'🔁 Sub: V. Martens · E. KakouCercle Brugge

83'🔁 Sub: T. Akinsola · L. MichalCercle Brugge

80'❌ L. Rousseau (missed pen.)RAAL La Louvière

72'🔁 Sub: M. Courcoul · E. FiletRAAL La Louvière

66'🟨 P. NkoaRAAL La Louvière

64'🔁 Sub: D. Lamego · M. KovacsRAAL La Louvière

59'🔁 Sub: L. Le Roux · L. MondeleCercle Brugge

46'🔁 Sub: S. Ngoura · K. KouassiCercle Brugge

46'🔁 Sub: A. Tajaouart · Z. GruberRAAL La Louvière

46'🔁 Sub: T. Lutonda · S. DelosRAAL La Louvière

45'+6❌ M. Isah (missed pen.)RAAL La Louvière

39'🟨 H. van der BruggenCercle Brugge

38'🔁 Sub: S. Gourville · P. NkoaRAAL La Louvière

24'🟨 L. Le RouxCercle Brugge

6'⚽ S. Ngoura assist G. MagneeCercle Brugge

Win probability minute by minute

RAAL La LouvièreDrawCercle Brugge

At kick-off40%33%27%Full time0%0%100%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

40%RAAL La Louvière to win@2.50

33%Draw@3.07

27%Cercle Brugge to win@3.64

Over 1.5 goals75%

Over 2.5 goals49%

Over 3.5 goals30%

Both teams to score55%

RAAL La Louvière or draw73%

Cercle Brugge or draw60%

RAAL La Louvière to score77%

Cercle Brugge to score70%

Most likely scores

1-115%0-010%1-08%2-18%2-07%

Expected goals per the model: RAAL La Louvière 1.49 · Cercle Brugge 1.22

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.71.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.2 in total · RAAL La Louvière 4.3 · Cercle Brugge 5.9

63%Over 8.5@1.57

53%Over 9.5@1.87

43%Over 10.5@2.30

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.1

55%Over 3.5@1.80

39%Over 4.5@2.59

25%Over 5.5@4.01

⏱️ First half

38% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.03

64%Goal in the 1st half@1.56

28%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.63

81%Goal in the 2st half@1.23

⚽ Goals per team

44%RAAL La Louvière +1.5@2.28

34%Cercle Brugge +1.5@2.90

20%RAAL La Louvière to win to nil@4.92

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

0Shots on target4

13Shots9

7Fouls16

5Corners2

1Offsides1

62Possession %38

1Yellow cards2

3Saves0

2.18Expected goals (xG)1.02

Goals in the last 10 matches

RAAL La Louvière · last 10 matches

7/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score3.4goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Cercle Brugge · last 10 matches

6/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.2goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

RAAL La LouvièreCercle Brugge

1.3Goals scored per match1.3

2.3Goals conceded per match2.2

100%Matches with over 1.5 goals80%

80%Matches with over 2.5 goals70%

50%Both teams to score70%

20%Clean sheet0%

30%Matches without scoring30%

3.6Corners won per match6.5

2.4Yellow cards per match1.3

RAAL La Louvière: 10 matches · Cercle Brugge: 10 matches (all competitions with data).

RAAL La Louvière at home · Cercle Brugge away

RAAL La Louvière at home

2G1E2P

WLWDL

Cercle Brugge away

0G2E3P

LLDLD

When do they score and concede?

RAAL La Louvière · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded

Cercle Brugge · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded

The first goal

RAAL La Louvière

Scores first in 4 of 10 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 1.

Cercle Brugge

Scores first in 4 of 10 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

RAAL La Louvière

N. Gillot · 3 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches

Mustapha Isah · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

L. Rousseau · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Cercle Brugge

S. Ngoura · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

T. Akinsola · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

A. Manneh · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Head to head

3RAAL La Louvière to win

0Draws

1Cercle Brugge to win

4 matches · 3.8 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-05-09	RAAL La Louvière 4-1 Cercle Brugge	Jupiler Pro League
2026-04-11	Cercle Brugge 3-0 RAAL La Louvière	Jupiler Pro League
2026-03-15	Cercle Brugge 1-3 RAAL La Louvière	Jupiler Pro League
2025-11-02	RAAL La Louvière 2-1 Cercle Brugge	Jupiler Pro League

Standings

Jupiler Pro League standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Unión St. Gilloise	11	+23	29
2	Club Brugge KV	11	+18	28
3	Gent	11	+14	28
4	Charleroi	11	+13	27
5	Anderlecht	11	+2	20
6	Lommel United	11	+2	16
7	Genk	11	+3	15
8	Standard Liege	11	+2	15
9	KVC Westerlo	11	-4	14
10	OH Leuven	11	-5	12
11	KV Mechelen	11	-7	12
12	St. Truiden	11	0	11
13	Antwerp	11	-6	11
14	Zulte Waregem	11	-7	11
15	SK Beveren	11	-10	10
16	Cercle Brugge	11	-8	9
17	RAAL La Louvière	11	-11	7
18	Kortrijk	11	-19	4

More stats

Referee: W. Smet

4 matches · 3.5 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties

Half-time

RAAL La Louvière: 6 days since last match · Cercle Brugge: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 22:20 UTC.