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QPR vs Lincoln prediction

England · Championship

QPR#8 · 24 ptsDLWLW

2 - 1Full time

Lincoln#21 · 15 ptsLLWDL

59%23%18%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Richard Kone 11'⚽ Dom Jefferies 29'⚽ Glen Kamara 80'

Saturday, 7 November · 10:00 (Peru time) · Loftus Road · Referee: Bobby Madley

🎯 Model pick

QPR to score

84%

Partial data

QPR scored in 10 of 14 matches this season
QPR average 1.6 goals per match
Lincoln concede 1.7 goals per match

⚡ Summary

59%QPR to win@1.68 52%Over 2.5 goals@1.91 51%Both teams to score@1.95 55%Corners +9.5 (10.4)@1.8146%Cards +4.5 (4.6)@2.151-0Most likely score · 11%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+3🟨 Dennis CirkinQPR

83'🔁 Sub: Dom Jefferies · Isaac OlaofeLincoln

83'🔁 Sub: Daniel Oyegoke · Chiedozie OgbeneLincoln

80'⚽ Glen Kamara assist Ilias ChairQPR

77'🔁 Sub: Paul Smyth · Koki SaitoQPR

77'🔁 Sub: Richard Kone · Justin ObikwuQPR

73'🔁 Sub: Yunus Konak · Tom BaylissLincoln

73'🔁 Sub: Reeco Hackett-Fairchild · Thomas HamerLincoln

69'🔁 Sub: Kwame Poku · Karamoko DembéléQPR

69'🔁 Sub: Boy Kemper · Dennis CirkinQPR

59'🔁 Sub: Mikkel Ladefoged · Robert Nicholas StreetLincoln

59'🔁 Sub: Harvey Vale · Ilias ChairQPR

33'🟨 Yunus KonakLincoln

29'⚽ Dom Jefferies assist F. DraperLincoln

11'⚽ Richard Kone assist Boy KemperQPR

8'🟨 Paul SmythQPR

1'🟨 Conor McGrandlesLincoln

Win probability minute by minute

QPRDrawLincoln

At kick-off59%23%18%Full time100%0%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

59%QPR to win@1.68

23%Draw@4.41

18%Lincoln to win@5.60

Over 1.5 goals76%

Over 2.5 goals52%

Over 3.5 goals31%

Both teams to score51%

QPR or draw82%

Lincoln or draw41%

QPR to score84%

Lincoln to score59%

Most likely scores

1-011%2-011%1-110%2-110%0-07%

Expected goals per the model: QPR 1.88 · Lincoln 0.92

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.80.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.4 in total · QPR 6.6 · Lincoln 3.8

65%Over 8.5@1.53

55%Over 9.5@1.81

45%Over 10.5@2.21

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.6

63%Over 3.5@1.59

46%Over 4.5@2.15

32%Over 5.5@3.14

⏱️ First half

44% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.23

71%Goal in the 1st half@1.41

35%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.86

79%Goal in the 2st half@1.26

⚽ Goals per team

56%QPR +1.5@1.78

23%Lincoln +1.5@4.26

33%QPR to win to nil@3.00

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

4Shots on target3

1Saves2

21Shots12

2Yellow cards2

6Corners2

0Offsides1

10Fouls11

0Red cards0

69Possession %31

1.66Expected goals (xG)1.20

Goals in the last 10 matches

QPR · last 10 matches

6/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score3.1goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Lincoln · last 10 matches

7/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score3.1goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

QPRLincoln

1.6Goals scored per match1.0

1.2Goals conceded per match1.7

79%Matches with over 1.5 goals64%

57%Matches with over 2.5 goals57%

64%Both teams to score50%

21%Clean sheet29%

29%Matches without scoring29%

5.6Corners won per match3.6

1.9Yellow cards per match2.4

QPR: 14 matches · Lincoln: 14 matches (all competitions with data).

QPR at home · Lincoln away

QPR at home

3G3E1P

DWWDL

Lincoln away

3G1E3P

LDLWW

When do they score and concede?

QPR · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded

Lincoln · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded

The first goal

QPR

Scores first in 5 of 12 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 4.

Lincoln

Scores first in 6 of 13 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

QPR

Richard Kone · 4 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Jimmy Dunne · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

N. Madsen · 1 gol, 1 assists in 1 matches

Lincoln

Mikkel Ladefoged · 2 goles, 1 assists in 3 matches

B. House · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

A. Coubis · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Standings

Championship standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	15	+14	29
2	Middlesbrough	15	+11	29
3	Stoke City	15	+6	29
4	Wolves	15	+8	28
5	West Brom	15	+8	28
6	Swansea	15	+4	26
7	Southampton	15	+14	24
8	QPR	15	+6	24
9	West Ham	15	+14	23
10	Sheffield Utd	15	+2	22
11	Portsmouth	15	+2	22
12	Norwich	15	+8	21
13	Blackburn	15	-1	21
14	Cardiff	15	0	18
15	Wrexham	15	-2	18
16	Millwall	15	-4	18
17	Bristol City	15	-8	18
18	Bolton	15	-9	17
19	Charlton	15	-10	17
20	Watford	15	-10	15
21	Lincoln	15	-11	15
22	Burnley	15	-9	10
23	Derby	15	-16	10
24	Preston	15	-17	8

More stats

Referee: Bobby Madley

1 matches · 2.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties

Half-time

QPR: 3 days since last match · Lincoln: 3 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 17:40 UTC.