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Puerto Rico vs Dominica prediction

International · Nations League Concacaf
14:00Fri Nov 13

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Friday, November 13 · 14:00 (Peru time)

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

75%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Puerto Rico and Dominica meet in the Nations League Concacaf.

The PickMania model gives Puerto Rico a 66% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 12% for Dominica.

2.8 total goals are expected (2.1 from Puerto Rico and 0.8 from Dominica): over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance and both teams to score 46%.

The most likely score is 1-0.

Probabilities

66%Puerto Rico to win@1.51
22%Draw@4.55
12%Dominica to win@8.47
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score46%
Puerto Rico or draw88%
Dominica or draw34%
Puerto Rico to score86%
Dominica to score52%

Most likely scores

1-012%2-012%1-110%2-19%0-08%

Expected goals per the model: Puerto Rico 2.06 · Dominica 0.76

How many goals will there be?

6%0 goals17%1 goals24%2 goals22%3 goals16%4 goals16%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.82.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.0 in total · Puerto Rico 4.8 · Dominica 4.3

51%Over 8.5@1.95
41%Over 9.5@2.44
32%Over 10.5@3.16
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.8

66%Over 3.5@1.52
49%Over 4.5@2.02
34%Over 5.5@2.90

⏱️ First half

52% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.47

77%Goal in the 1st half@1.30
43%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.32
74%Goal in the 2st half@1.35

⚽ Goals per team

61%Puerto Rico +1.5@1.64
18%Dominica +1.5@5.65
40%Puerto Rico to win to nil@2.52

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Puerto Rico · last 5 matches
2/5+2.5 goals0/5both teams to score2.0goals per match
2.5vs Arabia Saudí: 0-3 0-3 vs Guyana: 0-1 0-1 at Dominica: 2-0 2-0 en Cayman Islands: 3-0 3-0 vs Cayman Islands: 1-0 1-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Dominica · last 5 matches
2/5+2.5 goals2/5both teams to score3.6goals per match
2.5vs Anguilla: 1-0 1-0 en Cayman Islands: 0-0 0-0 vs Puerto Rico: 0-2 0-2 vs Guyana: 1-5 1-5 ambosen Guyana: 1-8 1-8 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Puerto RicoDominica
1.5Goals scored per match0.5
0.3Goals conceded per match3.8
50%Matches with over 1.5 goals75%
25%Matches with over 2.5 goals50%
0%Both teams to score50%
75%Clean sheet25%
25%Matches without scoring50%
5.8Corners won per match5.5
2.3Yellow cards per match2.5

Puerto Rico: 4 matches · Dominica: 4 matches (all competitions with data).

Puerto Rico at home · Dominica away

Puerto Rico at home
1G0E1P
WLL
Dominica away
0G1E1P
LD

When do they score and concede?

Puerto Rico · goals by minute in 4 matches scored conceded
100-151016-302031-450046-601061-751176-90
Dominica · goals by minute in 4 matches scored conceded
020-150316-300331-450346-602261-750276-90

The first goal

Puerto Rico

Scores first in 3 of 4 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 0.

Dominica

Scores first in 0 of 3 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Puerto Rico

W. Rivera · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

J. De Leon · 1 gol, 2 assists in 4 matches

R. Sulia · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Dominica

Reon Cuffy · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

T. Jules · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

R. Cuffy · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

1Puerto Rico to win
0Draws
0Dominica to win

1 matches · 2.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-09-28Dominica 0-2 Puerto RicoCONCACAF Nations League

More stats

Half-time

Puerto Rico: 39 days since last match · Dominica: 40 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.

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