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Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos FC prediction

Venezuela · Primera División
Portuguesa FC badgePortuguesa FC#6 · 39 ptsLDDLD
2 - 2Full time
Metropolitanos FC badgeMetropolitanos FC#1 · 57 ptsLDDDD

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Jose Alexander Riasco Brizuela 5'⚽ Ovidio Lopez 41' (p)⚽ Guillermo·Benitez 87'⚽ Augustin Bianciotti 90'

Sunday, November 8 · 16:30 (Peru time) · Estadio General Jose Antonio Paez

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Metropolitanos FC to score

77%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+3⚽ Augustin Bianciotti assist Richard FigueroaMetropolitanos FC
87'⚽ Guillermo·Benitez assist Jose PerezPortuguesa FC
82'🔁 Sub: Marlon Rodriguez · Jailerth NavarroMetropolitanos FC
81'🟨 Guillermo·BenitezPortuguesa FC
80'🟨 Christopher MontañaPortuguesa FC
80'🔁 Sub: Ovidio Lopez · Guillermo·BenitezPortuguesa FC
77'🔁 Sub: Miku Fedor · Augustin BianciottiMetropolitanos FC
77'🔁 Sub: George Ayimbire Ayine · Robert GarcésMetropolitanos FC
70'🔁 Sub: Alejandro Yepez · Cesar UrpinPortuguesa FC
70'🔁 Sub: Keiver Zuniga · Jose SotoPortuguesa FC
60'🔁 Sub: Saimon Ramirez · David ZalzmanMetropolitanos FC
60'🔁 Sub: Robert Daniel Mendoza Mujica · Jose PerezPortuguesa FC
59'🔁 Sub: Rafael Acosta · Richard FigueroaMetropolitanos FC
45'🔁 Sub: Albaro Polo · Jonathan CanetePortuguesa FC
41'⚽ Ovidio Lopez (pen.)Portuguesa FC
5'⚽ Jose Alexander Riasco Brizuela assist Miku FedorMetropolitanos FC

Win probability minute by minute

Portuguesa FCDrawMetropolitanos FC
At kick-off27%31%41%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

27%Portuguesa FC to win@3.65
31%Draw@3.19
41%Metropolitanos FC to win@2.42
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score58%
Portuguesa FC or draw59%
Metropolitanos FC or draw73%
Portuguesa FC to score70%
Metropolitanos FC to score77%

Most likely scores

1-114%0-09%0-19%1-28%0-27%

Expected goals per the model: Portuguesa FC 1.20 · Metropolitanos FC 1.51

How many goals will there be?

7%0 goals18%1 goals24%2 goals22%3 goals15%4 goals14%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.71.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

44% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.19

70%Goal in the 1st half@1.44
33%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.00
78%Goal in the 2st half@1.28

⚽ Goals per team

34%Portuguesa FC +1.5@2.96
45%Metropolitanos FC +1.5@2.24
13%Portuguesa FC to win to nil@7.43

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Portuguesa FC · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.3goals per match
2.5en Rayo Zuliano: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Estudiantes de Merida FC: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Puerto Cabello: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Deportivo La Guaira: 0-0 0-0 en UCV: 0-0 0-0 vs Carabobo FC: 1-3 1-3 ambosat Metropolitanos FC: 0-0 0-0 en Deportivo La Guaira: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Deportivo La Guaira: 0-3 0-3 vs Metropolitanos FC: 2-2 2-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Metropolitanos FC · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.9goals per match
2.5en Anzoátegui FC: 2-0 2-0 vs Caracas FC: 3-0 3-0 en Zamora FC: 3-1 3-1 ambosvs Rayo Zuliano: 4-0 4-0 en Estudiantes de Merida FC: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Deportivo La Guaira: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Portuguesa FC: 0-0 0-0 en Carabobo FC: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Carabobo FC: 0-2 0-2 at Portuguesa FC: 2-2 2-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Portuguesa FCMetropolitanos FC
1.2Goals scored per match1.5
1.1Goals conceded per match0.9
69%Matches with over 1.5 goals65%
44%Matches with over 2.5 goals41%
50%Both teams to score46%
39%Clean sheet43%
28%Matches without scoring22%

Portuguesa FC: 36 matches · Metropolitanos FC: 37 matches (all competitions with data).

Portuguesa FC at home · Metropolitanos FC away

Portuguesa FC at home
8G6E4P
LLDWD
Metropolitanos FC away
8G8E3P
DDDWW

When do they score and concede?

Portuguesa FC · goals by minute in 33 matches scored conceded
940-156716-307731-455746-607461-759876-90
Metropolitanos FC · goals by minute in 34 matches scored conceded
640-1510216-305231-4581046-608361-7513676-90

The first goal

Portuguesa FC

Scores first in 16 of 28 matches and wins 10 of them.

Concedes first in 12 and avoids defeat in 6.

Metropolitanos FC

Scores first in 23 of 30 matches and wins 19 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Portuguesa FC

Jonathan Canete · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Luis Moreno · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Ruben Rojas · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Metropolitanos FC

Saimon Ramirez · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

A. Jaimes · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Miku · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

3Portuguesa FC to win
3Draws
4Metropolitanos FC to win

10 matches · 2.7 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-10-28Metropolitanos FC 0-0 Portuguesa FCPrimera División
2026-08-30Portuguesa FC 2-2 Metropolitanos FCPrimera División
2026-03-08Metropolitanos FC 3-2 Portuguesa FCPrimera División
2025-09-28Metropolitanos FC 5-1 Portuguesa FCPrimera División
2025-04-20Portuguesa FC 2-1 Metropolitanos FCPrimera División
2024-09-13Metropolitanos FC 2-1 Portuguesa FCPrimera División

Standings

Primera División standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Metropolitanos FC26+2657
2Deportivo Táchira FC26+1851
3Deportivo La Guaira26+1344
4Carabobo FC26+1441
5Puerto Cabello26+940
6Portuguesa FC26+1039
7UCV26+239
8Estudiantes de Merida FC26+237
9Caracas FC26-332
10Monagas SC26-829
11Zamora FC26-1525
12Rayo Zuliano26-2125
13Trujillanos FC26-2318
14Anzoátegui FC26-2417

More stats

Half-time

Portuguesa FC: 4 days since last match · Metropolitanos FC: 3 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-09 00:00 UTC.

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