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Portadown vs Ballymena United prediction
Northern Ireland · Premiership
Portadown
Ballymena UnitedPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 10:00 (Peru time) · Shamrock Park
Ballymena United to score
81%- Ballymena United scored in 10 of 12 matches this season
- Ballymena United average 1.4 goals per match
- Portadown concede 1.7 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Portadown 1.17 · Ballymena United 1.69
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.86.
Corners, cards and first half
⏱️ First half
41% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.18
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Portadown: 14 matches · Ballymena United: 12 matches (all competitions with data).
Portadown at home · Ballymena United away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 3 of 13 matches and wins 2 of them.
Concedes first in 10 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 8 of 12 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
B. Kennedy · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
J. Scott · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
J. Teelan · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
F. Thorndike · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches
J. Archer · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
I. Rutkowski · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.2 goals per match
| 2026-09-26 | Ballymena United 2-0 Portadown | Premiership |
| 2026-04-18 | Ballymena United 1-2 Portadown | Premiership |
| 2026-03-07 | Ballymena United 1-1 Portadown | Premiership |
| 2025-12-13 | Portadown 1-0 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| 2025-08-19 | Portadown 0-2 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| 2025-04-26 | Portadown 2-1 Ballymena United | Premiership |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linfield | 15 | +13 | 36 |
| 2 | Coleraine FC | 15 | +16 | 35 |
| 3 | Larne | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 4 | Glentoran | 14 | +6 | 22 |
| 5 | Cliftonville FC | 15 | +8 | 21 |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 15 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | Dungannon Swifts | 14 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Crusaders FC | 15 | -10 | 18 |
| 9 | Ballymena United | 13 | +1 | 16 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 15 | -10 | 14 |
| 11 | Bangor | 15 | -13 | 12 |
| 12 | Portadown | 15 | -13 | 9 |
More stats
Portadown: 7 days since last match · Ballymena United: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 17:40 UTC.