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Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR prediction
Brazil · Serie B
Ponte Preta
Operario-PRProbabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo
Thursday, November 12 · 17:00 (Peru time) · Moisés Lucarelli
Operario-PR to score
82%- Operario-PR scored in 32 of 42 matches this season
- Operario-PR average 1.3 goals per match
- Ponte Preta concede 2.0 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
📝 Preview
Ponte Preta and Operario-PR meet in the Serie B.
The PickMania model gives Ponte Preta a 20% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 56% for Operario-PR.
2.8 total goals are expected (1.0 from Ponte Preta and 1.8 from Operario-PR): over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance and both teams to score 52%.
The most likely score is 1-1.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Ponte Preta 0.97 · Operario-PR 1.79
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.76.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.7 in total · Ponte Preta 4.9 · Operario-PR 5.8
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 6.0
⏱️ First half
52% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.44
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Ponte Preta: 39 matches · Operario-PR: 42 matches (all competitions with data).
Ponte Preta at home · Operario-PR away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 10 of 38 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 28 and avoids defeat in 2.
Scores first in 20 of 37 matches and wins 14 of them.
Concedes first in 17 and avoids defeat in 7.
Players in form
Danilo Peu · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
Gustavo Almeida · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
David da Hora · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Onitlasi Júnior de Moraes Rodrigues · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Joseph · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Caio Dantas · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.2 goals per match
| 2026-07-22 | Operario-PR 3-2 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
| 2024-08-24 | Ponte Preta 0-1 Operario-PR | Serie B |
| 2024-05-11 | Operario-PR 1-1 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
| 2022-07-30 | Ponte Preta 3-0 Operario-PR | Serie B |
| 2022-04-16 | Operario-PR 2-0 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
| 2021-09-23 | Operario-PR 1-2 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 | Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 | CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 | Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 | Atlético Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 | Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 | América Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More stats
Ponte Preta: 3 days since last match · Operario-PR: 5 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.