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Polessya vs Veres Rivne prediction

Ukraine · Premier League
Polessya badgePolessya#2 · 28 ptsWWDWW
2 - 0Full time
Veres Rivne badgeVeres Rivne#13 · 9 ptsLLLLW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Eduard Sarapiy 47'🟥 Mykyta Aleksandrov 58'⚽ Mykola Gayduchyk 90'

Friday, November 6 · 06:00 (Peru time) · Tsentralnyi Stadion · Referee: Roman Blavatskiy

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

81%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+3⚽ Mykola GayduchykPolessya
89'🔁 Sub: David Niyo · Rostyslav baranVeres Rivne
78'🔁 Sub: Vladyslav Sharay · Maksym SmiyanVeres Rivne
78'🔁 Sub: Mykhaylo Protasevych · Konstantinos StamoulisVeres Rivne
72'🔁 Sub: Wesley Pomba · Guilherme BahiaVeres Rivne
72'🔁 Sub: Fabrício Yan Peixoto Barros Limeira · Alagie WallyVeres Rivne
68'🔁 Sub: Vladyslav Veleten · Oleksandr NazarenkoPolessya
59'🔁 Sub: Igor Krasnopir · Mykola GayduchykPolessya
58'🟥 Mykyta AleksandrovVeres Rivne
47'⚽ Eduard Sarapiy assist Mykyta KravchenkoPolessya
45'+2🟨 O. ShandrukVeres Rivne
45'🔁 Sub: Oleksandr Andriyevskyi · Lindon EmerllahuPolessya
45'🔁 Sub: Giorgi Maisuradze · Mykyta KravchenkoPolessya
45'🔁 Sub: Maksym Bragaru · Oleg FedorPolessya
37'🟨 Mykyta AleksandrovVeres Rivne
35'🟨 Ivan SanotskyiVeres Rivne
34'🟨 Oleksandr AndriyevskyiPolessya
27'🟨 Maksym BragaruPolessya
14'🟨 Igor KrasnopirPolessya
5'🟨 Vladyslav SharayVeres Rivne

Win probability minute by minute

PolessyaDrawVeres Rivne
At kick-off75%18%7%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

75%Polessya to win@1.33
18%Draw@5.63
7%Veres Rivne to win@13.74
Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams to score42%
Polessya or draw93%
Veres Rivne or draw25%
Polessya to score91%
Veres Rivne to score49%

Most likely scores

2-013%1-010%3-010%2-18%1-18%

Expected goals per the model: Polessya 2.46 · Veres Rivne 0.68

How many goals will there be?

4%0 goals14%1 goals21%2 goals22%3 goals18%4 goals21%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.14.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 8.7 in total · Polessya 5.5 · Veres Rivne 3.1

48%Over 8.5@2.10
37%Over 9.5@2.67
28%Over 10.5@3.52
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.4

60%Over 3.5@1.67
43%Over 4.5@2.33
29%Over 5.5@3.49

⏱️ First half

48% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.50

78%Goal in the 1st half@1.29
44%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.27
81%Goal in the 2st half@1.24

⚽ Goals per team

70%Polessya +1.5@1.42
15%Veres Rivne +1.5@6.72
45%Polessya to win to nil@2.22

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

8Corners1
4Shots on target2
70Possession %30
0Red cards1
3Yellow cards2
4Shots2

Goals in the last 10 matches

Polessya · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score3.0goals per match
2.5vs FC Kharkiv: 3-1 3-1 ambosvs Zorya Luhansk: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Shakhtar Donetsk: 2-0 2-0 vs Kudrivka: 5-1 5-1 ambosvs Livyi Bereh: 1-0 1-0 vs Kryvbas KR: 1-0 1-0 en Bukovyna: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Dynamo Kyiv: 3-1 3-1 ambosvs Obolon'-Brovar: 3-0 3-0 vs Veres Rivne: 2-0 2-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Veres Rivne · last 10 matches
3/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.1goals per match
2.5en Epitsentr Dunayivtsi: 0-0 0-0 en LNZ Cherkasy: 1-0 1-0 vs Zorya Luhansk: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Karpaty: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Kudrivka: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Shakhtar Donetsk: 0-3 0-3 en Obolon'-Brovar: 0-2 0-2 vs Kolos Kovalivka: 0-2 0-2 vs Chornomorets: 1-3 1-3 ambosat Polessya: 0-2 0-2

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

PolessyaVeres Rivne
2.3Goals scored per match0.6
1.1Goals conceded per match1.4
83%Matches with over 1.5 goals73%
75%Matches with over 2.5 goals36%
67%Both teams to score45%
33%Clean sheet18%
0%Matches without scoring45%
6.1Corners won per match3.7
1.8Yellow cards per match2.3

Polessya: 12 matches · Veres Rivne: 11 matches (all competitions with data).

Polessya at home · Veres Rivne away

Polessya at home
6G1E1P
WWWWW
Veres Rivne away
1G2E2P
LDWDL

When do they score and concede?

Polessya · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded
420-154216-305231-452346-606261-756276-90
Veres Rivne · goals by minute in 11 matches scored conceded
110-151316-300531-452246-601261-752376-90

The first goal

Polessya

Scores first in 8 of 12 matches and wins 6 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 3.

Veres Rivne

Scores first in 3 of 10 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Polessya

I. Krasnopir · 5 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

V. Veleten · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

B. Krushynskyi · 0 goles, 2 assists in 3 matches

Veres Rivne

A. Goncalves · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Wesley Pomba · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

F. Yan · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

5Polessya to win
4Draws
1Veres Rivne to win

10 matches · 3.2 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-04-05Polessya 1-1 Veres RivnePremier League
2025-09-29Veres Rivne 1-4 PolessyaPremier League
2025-04-02Veres Rivne 0-1 PolessyaCup
2025-03-11Veres Rivne 5-1 PolessyaPremier League
2024-10-12Polessya 0-0 Veres RivneFriendlies Clubs
2024-09-15Polessya 2-1 Veres RivnePremier League

Standings

Premier League standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk12+1729
2Polessya11+1728
3Dynamo Kyiv11+723
4FC Kharkiv9+1121
5Karpaty11+1419
6LNZ Cherkasy11+218
7Zorya Luhansk12-118
8Kolos Kovalivka10-112
9Epitsentr Dunayivtsi12-510
10Bukovyna11-510
11Chornomorets11-59
12Livyi Bereh10-29
13Veres Rivne12-119
14Obolon'-Brovar11-138
15Kudrivka12-178
16Kryvbas KR10-87

More stats

Half-time

Polessya: 14 days since last match · Veres Rivne: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 13:30 UTC.

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