PickManiaAI predictions

Home › International · International friendlies › Polonia sub-21 vs Noruega sub-21

Poland U21 vs Norway U21 prediction

International · International friendlies
11:30Fri Nov 13

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Friday, November 13 · 11:30 (Peru time)

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Poland U21 to score

77%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Poland U21 and Norway U21 meet in the International friendlies.

The PickMania model gives Poland U21 a 46% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 26% for Norway U21.

2.8 total goals are expected (1.6 from Poland U21 and 1.2 from Norway U21): over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance and both teams to score 53%.

The most likely score is 1-1.

Probabilities

46%Poland U21 to win@2.16
28%Draw@3.59
26%Norway U21 to win@3.86
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score53%
Poland U21 or draw74%
Norway U21 or draw54%
Poland U21 to score77%
Norway U21 to score66%

Most likely scores

1-112%1-010%0-010%2-18%2-08%

Expected goals per the model: Poland U21 1.62 · Norway U21 1.16

How many goals will there be?

6%0 goals17%1 goals24%2 goals22%3 goals15%4 goals15%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.78.

Corners, cards and first half

⚽ Goals per team

48%Polonia sub-21 +1.5@2.08
32%Noruega sub-21 +1.5@3.10
24%Poland U21 to win to nil@4.17

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Season comparison

Poland U21Norway U21
0.0Goals scored per match0.0
0.0Goals conceded per match2.0
0%Matches with over 1.5 goals100%
0%Matches with over 2.5 goals0%
0%Both teams to score0%
0%Clean sheet0%
0%Matches without scoring100%

Poland U21: 0 matches · Norway U21: 1 matches (all competitions with data).

Poland U21 at home · Norway U21 away

Poland U21 at home
0G0E0P
Norway U21 away
0G0E0P

When do they score and concede?

Norway U21 · goals by minute in 1 matches scored conceded
010-150016-300031-450146-600061-750076-90

The first goal

Norway U21

Scores first in 0 of 1 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 0.

More stats

Half-time

Poland U21: – days since last match · Norway U21: 158 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.

Get the AI Top Picks in your inbox

Every morning, the day's picks with their data. Free, and you can unsubscribe any time.