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Plzen vs Sparta Praha prediction
Czechia · Czech Liga
Plzen
Sparta PrahaPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 12:00 (Peru time) · Doosan Arena · Referee: Dominik Stary
Sparta Praha to score
78%- Sparta Praha scored in 13 of 19 matches this season
- Sparta Praha average 1.7 goals per match
- Plzen concede 1.7 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Plzen 1.30 · Sparta Praha 1.52
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.82.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.7 in total · Plzen 5.0 · Sparta Praha 5.7
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.8 · el árbitro Dominik Stary saca 3.3 por partido
⏱️ First half
45% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.27
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Plzen: 19 matches · Sparta Praha: 19 matches (all competitions with data).
Plzen at home · Sparta Praha away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 11 of 18 matches and wins 7 of them.
Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 0.
Scores first in 10 of 17 matches and wins 8 of them.
Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
Amar Memić · 2 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches
Adam Gabriel · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Christopher Kabongo · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Jonatan Braut Brunes · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Andy Irving · 1 gol, 1 assists in 3 matches
Ki-Jana Hoever · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.2 goals per match
| 2026-05-12 | Sparta Praha 0-0 Plzen | Czech Liga |
| 2026-02-22 | Plzen 0-0 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| 2025-09-20 | Sparta Praha 2-1 Plzen | Czech Liga |
| 2025-04-27 | Plzen 2-0 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| 2025-04-23 | Sparta Praha 1-0 Plzen | Cup |
| 2025-03-30 | Sparta Praha 2-4 Plzen | Czech Liga |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 14 | +28 | 34 |
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 13 | +8 | 26 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 14 | +7 | 25 |
| 4 | Sparta Praha | 14 | +12 | 24 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 14 | +2 | 24 |
| 6 | Teplice | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 7 | FK Jablonec | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | Plzen | 14 | +7 | 20 |
| 9 | Bohemians 1905 | 14 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 | Zbrojovka Brno | 14 | -5 | 20 |
| 11 | Hradec Králové | 14 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 | Pardubice | 14 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 | Baník Ostrava | 13 | -13 | 14 |
| 14 | Artis | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 15 | Slovácko | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 16 | Zlin | 14 | -16 | 3 |
More stats
18 matches · 3.3 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.17 penalties
Plzen: 2 days since last match · Sparta Praha: 2 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 19:30 UTC.