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Plymouth Parkway vs Berkhamsted prediction

England · FA Cup

Plymouth ParkwayWWWWL

2 - 1Full time

BerkhamstedWWWWL

56%26%19%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ L Andrews 47'⚽ Andrew Neal 73' (p)⚽ Andrew Neal 105' (p)

Monday, November 9 · 14:30 (Peru time) · Bolitho Park

🎯 Model pick

Plymouth Parkway to score

84%

Partial data

Plymouth Parkway scored in 4 of 4 matches this season
Plymouth Parkway average 2.3 goals per match
Berkhamsted kept a clean sheet in only 1 of 4

⚡ Summary

56%Plymouth Parkway to win@1.79 57%Over 2.5 goals@1.74 59%Both teams to score@1.70 1-1Most likely score · 11%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

120'🟨 Hayden TurnerPlymouth Parkway

111'🔁 Sub: Reece Thomson · H. DonovanPlymouth Parkway

111'🔁 Sub: Rio Garside · Joel SullivanPlymouth Parkway

105'+1⚽ Andrew Neal (pen.)Plymouth Parkway

105'+1🟨 Chris DevaneBerkhamsted

96'🟨 Adam WatkinsBerkhamsted

90'+2🔁 Sub: Ryan Brett · Edward HarrisonPlymouth Parkway

90'🔁 Sub: Ryan Blake · Connor Chadney Kurran-BrowneBerkhamsted

90'🔁 Sub: Joe Payne · Billy Mardell-SmithBerkhamsted

87'🔁 Sub: Jeffrey Sekyere · Ruben Bartlett-AntwiBerkhamsted

87'🔁 Sub: J Gurteen · Godlove Peprah OppongBerkhamsted

74'🔁 Sub: J Lacey · Adam WatkinsBerkhamsted

74'🔁 Sub: Cameron Hyde · Harry RushBerkhamsted

73'⚽ Andrew Neal (pen.)Plymouth Parkway

67'🟨 Toby DownPlymouth Parkway

65'🔁 Sub: Callum Hall · Hayden TurnerPlymouth Parkway

48'🔁 Sub: Will Sullivan · Carlo GarsidePlymouth Parkway

47'⚽ L Andrews assist J LaceyBerkhamsted

Win probability minute by minute

Plymouth ParkwayDrawBerkhamsted

At kick-off56%26%19%Full time0%100%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

56%Plymouth Parkway to win@1.79

26%Draw@3.92

19%Berkhamsted to win@5.36

Over 1.5 goals79%

Over 2.5 goals57%

Over 3.5 goals38%

Both teams to score59%

Plymouth Parkway or draw81%

Berkhamsted or draw44%

Plymouth Parkway to score84%

Berkhamsted to score66%

Most likely scores

1-111%1-09%2-19%2-08%0-07%

Expected goals per the model: Plymouth Parkway 2.02 · Berkhamsted 1.12

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.14.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

30% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.94

61%Goal in the 1st half@1.64

24%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@4.12

89%Goal in the 2st half@1.12

⚽ Goals per team

60%Plymouth Parkway +1.5@1.67

31%Berkhamsted +1.5@3.24

27%Plymouth Parkway to win to nil@3.71

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

2Shots on target1

1Offsides3

18Shots14

2Yellow cards1

4Corners5

15Fouls15

0Red cards0

57Possession %43

Goals in the last 10 matches

Plymouth Parkway · last 5 matches

3/5+2.5 goals3/5both teams to score2.8goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Berkhamsted · last 5 matches

4/5+2.5 goals4/5both teams to score3.6goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Plymouth ParkwayBerkhamsted

2.3Goals scored per match2.8

0.5Goals conceded per match1.0

100%Matches with over 1.5 goals100%

50%Matches with over 2.5 goals75%

50%Both teams to score75%

50%Clean sheet25%

0%Matches without scoring0%

0.0Corners won per match3.0

0.0Yellow cards per match3.0

Plymouth Parkway: 4 matches · Berkhamsted: 4 matches (all competitions with data).

Plymouth Parkway at home · Berkhamsted away

Plymouth Parkway at home

2G0E0P

Berkhamsted away

3G0E0P

WWW

When do they score and concede?

Plymouth Parkway · goals by minute in 1 matches scored conceded

Berkhamsted · goals by minute in 2 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Plymouth Parkway

Scores first in 1 of 1 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 0 and avoids defeat in 0.

Berkhamsted

Scores first in 1 of 2 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Plymouth Parkway

A. Neal · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

R. Thomson · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Berkhamsted

L. Andrews · 2 goles, 0 assists in 2 matches

J. Sekyere · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

R. Blake · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Head to head

1Plymouth Parkway to win

1Draws

0Berkhamsted to win

2 matches · 3.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-02-07	Plymouth Parkway 2-0 Berkhamsted	Non League Premier - Southern South
2025-09-20	Berkhamsted 2-2 Plymouth Parkway	Non League Premier - Southern South

More stats

Half-time

Plymouth Parkway: 23 days since last match · Berkhamsted: 23 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-09 22:10 UTC.