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Perú vs Bolivia prediction
International · Amistosos internacionales
Peru
BoliviaProbabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo
Friday, 13 November · 20:00 (Peru time) · Estadio Monumental
Perú to score
80%- Bolivia concede 2.3 goals per match
- Bolivia kept a clean sheet in only 1 of 7
- Bolivia in poor form: 4 defeats in their last 5
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
📝 Preview
Perú y Bolivia se enfrentan por la Amistosos internacionales.
The PickMania model gives Perú a 51% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 23% for Bolivia.
2.7 total goals are expected (1.6 from Perú and 1.0 from Bolivia): over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance and both teams to score 52%.
The most likely score is 1-1.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Perú 1.65 · Bolivia 1.03
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.68.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.5 in total · Perú 6.3 · Bolivia 4.2
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.0
⏱️ First half
52% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.40
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Perú: 8 matches · Bolivia: 7 matches (all competitions with data).
Perú at home · Bolivia away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 2 of 8 matches and wins 0 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 1 of 5 matches and wins 1 of them.
Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 0.
Players in form
Jairo Vélez · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
G. Lapadula · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
Y. Yotun · 0 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.6 goals per match
| 2025-12-21 | Peru 2-0 Bolivia | Friendlies |
| 2025-03-21 | Peru 3-1 Bolivia | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| 2023-11-16 | Bolivia 2-0 Peru | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| 2022-11-20 | Peru 1-0 Bolivia | Friendlies |
| 2021-11-12 | Peru 3-0 Bolivia | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| 2021-10-10 | Bolivia 1-0 Peru | World Cup - Qualification South America |
More stats
Perú: 38 days since last match · Bolivia: 44 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 03:47 UTC.