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Parma vs Bologna prediction
Italy · Serie A
Parma
BolognaPre-match probabilities
Saturday, 7 November · 12:00 (Peru time) · Ennio Tardini · Referee: Luca Zufferli
Bologna or draw
84%- Bologna unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 (W W W L W)
- Away, Bologna are 3W 0D 2L this season
- Parma in poor form: 3 defeats in their last 5
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Parma 0.80 · Bologna 1.59
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.39.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.2 in total · Parma 4.3 · Bologna 4.9
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 2.9 · el árbitro Luca Zufferli saca 2.3 por partido
⏱️ First half
38% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.91
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Parma: 10 matches · Bologna: 10 matches (all competitions with data).
Parma at home · Bologna away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 2 of 9 matches and wins 2 of them.
Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 5 of 10 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 2.
Players in form
Giovanni Fabbian · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Simone Lontani · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Vincent Sierro · 0 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches
Juan Miranda · 0 goles, 4 assists in 5 matches
Samuel Mbangula Tshifunda · 3 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches
Tommaso Pobega · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 3.1 goals per match
| 2026-02-08 | Bologna 0-1 Parma | Serie A |
| 2025-12-04 | Bologna 2-1 Parma | Coppa Italia |
| 2025-11-02 | Parma 1-3 Bologna | Serie A |
| 2025-02-22 | Parma 2-0 Bologna | Serie A |
| 2024-10-06 | Bologna 0-0 Parma | Serie A |
| 2021-02-07 | Parma 0-3 Bologna | Serie A |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 11 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 | Inter | 11 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 | Como | 11 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 11 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 11 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 | Napoli | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa | 11 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Lecce | 11 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma | 11 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 11 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 11 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia | 11 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese | 11 | -13 | 5 |
More stats
12 matches · 2.0 yellows and 0.33 reds per match · 0.67 penalties
Parma: 4 days since last match · Bologna: 7 days
Sin bajas conocidas
Sin bajas conocidas
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 19:30 UTC.