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Pamplona vs Eibar prediction

Spain · Copa del Rey

Pamplona

0 - 390'

EibarDLDLW

9%15%76%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Javier Marton 2'⚽ J. Magunazelaia Argoitia 22'⚽ J. Magunazelaia Argoitia 53'

Tuesday, November 10 · 13:00 (Peru time) · Campo de Futbol Beitikuntzea

Minuto a minuto · en vivo

85'🟨 A. PardoPamplona

68'🔁 Sub: Javier Marton · J. BautistaEibar

66'🔁 Sub: X. Bezunartea · A. TabuencaPamplona

61'🔁 Sub: M. Mahugo · J. Barber SanzPamplona

60'🔁 Sub: J. Ripa · F. FrancesPamplona

58'🔁 Sub: J. Magunazelaia Argoitia · S. AlvarezEibar

57'🔁 Sub: Pejino · J. GuruzetaEibar

53'⚽ J. Magunazelaia Argoitia assist L. NunezEibar

50'🔁 Sub: A. Gil · O. PerezPamplona

50'🔁 Sub: M. Cubillo · A. PardoPamplona

46'🔁 Sub: E. Perez · I. ZubiriaEibar

22'⚽ J. Magunazelaia Argoitia assist PejinoEibar

16'🟨 E. PerezEibar

2'⚽ Javier Marton assist PejinoEibar

Se actualiza solo cada minuto.

🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

83%

Partial data

2+ goals in 10 of 12 Eibar matches
Picky expects 3.5 goals (0.8 - 2.7)

⚡ Summary

76%Eibar to win@1.32 64%Over 2.5 goals@1.57 41%Both teams to score@2.42 0-2Most likely score · 11%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Win probability minute by minute

PamplonaDrawEibar

At kick-off9%15%76%Ahora (90')0%0%100%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

9%Pamplona to win@11.00

15%Draw@6.61

76%Eibar to win@1.32

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals64%

Over 3.5 goals44%

Both teams to score41%

Pamplona or draw24%

Eibar or draw91%

Pamplona to score54%

Eibar to score91%

Most likely scores

0-211%0-110%0-39%1-28%1-37%

Expected goals per the model: Pamplona 0.80 · Eibar 2.67

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.47.

Corners, cards and first half

⚽ Goals per team

19%Pamplona +1.5@5.23

75%Eibar +1.5@1.34

4%Pamplona to win to nil@24.10

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Eibar · last 10 matches

6/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.0goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

PamplonaEibar

0.0Goals scored per match1.8

0.0Goals conceded per match1.2

0%Matches with over 1.5 goals83%

0%Matches with over 2.5 goals58%

0%Both teams to score58%

0%Clean sheet33%

0%Matches without scoring8%

Pamplona: 0 matches · Eibar: 12 matches (all competitions with data).

Pamplona at home · Eibar away

Pamplona at home

0G0E0P

Eibar away

4G0E2P

LLWWW

When do they score and concede?

Eibar · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Eibar

Scores first in 6 of 12 matches and wins 6 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 3.

Players in form

Pamplona

Sin datos

Eibar

Pejiño · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

I. Gil · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Javier Marton · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

More stats

Half-time

Pamplona: – days since last match · Eibar: 10 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-10 19:47 UTC.